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Shin Hai Gas Corporation (9926) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · TW · Market cap 8.8B TWD

SH Shin Hai Gas Corporation 9926 · TW
Price49.30 TWD
Fair Value40.50 TWD
Upside-17.9%
Quality57/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 19.9% net margin
generates free cash flow
4.28% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range 28.30 TWD – 53.01 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −0.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 18% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (28.30 TWD to 53.01 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

57.20 TWD 38.58 TWD Fair Value 40.50 TWD Nov 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 38.58 TWD – 57.20 TWD · fair‑value band 28.30 TWD – 53.01 TWD · the 49.30 TWD price screens above the 40.50 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Shin Hai Gas Corporation (9926) currently trades at 49.30 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 40.50 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 17.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shin Hai Gas Corporation generated revenue of 2.5B TWD at a net margin of 19.9%. Revenue declined 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 409M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 28.30 TWD (bear case) to 53.01 TWD (bull case); at 49.30 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -18%, 9926 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 21.29 TWD 24.02 TWD 35.89 TWD 76
Growth DCF 23.35 TWD 30.20 TWD 40.51 TWD 72
Gordon GGM 17.57 TWD 23.46 TWD 29.27 TWD 70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 22.68 TWD 29.86 TWD 41.35 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 21.91 TWD 28.81 TWD 39.87 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 23.22 TWD 33.14 TWD 46.49 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 29.05 TWD 43.19 TWD 60.45 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 29.48 TWD 43.94 TWD 59.71 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 22.22 TWD 30.78 TWD 40.79 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 26.35 TWD 37.31 TWD 50.12 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 26.61 TWD 37.80 TWD 49.63 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 18.25 TWD 34.28 TWD 42.60 TWD 54
EPV 19.95 TWD 22.73 TWD 25.12 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 17.57 TWD 23.46 TWD 29.27 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 17.57 TWD 23.90 TWD 31.12 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 36.24 TWD 48.32 TWD 60.40 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 25.80 TWD 34.40 TWD 43.00 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 31.80 TWD 42.41 TWD 53.01 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 30.58 TWD 39.98 TWD 49.39 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 37.78 TWD 49.59 TWD 61.39 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 25.18 TWD 34.97 TWD 44.75 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 11.78 TWD 15.78 TWD 23.56 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 23.35 TWD 30.20 TWD 40.51 TWD 72
Rev-Margin DCF 23.22 TWD 33.46 TWD 45.26 TWD 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 21.29 TWD 24.02 TWD 35.89 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 19.95 TWD 22.73 TWD 25.68 TWD 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 26.04 TWD 37.20 TWD 48.36 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (39.98 TWD) versus Asset-Based (15.78 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.5B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.0%
Net margin 19.9%
Return on equity 11.4%
Free cash flow 374M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 18.3
More key figures
Operating margin 18.7%
EPS (TTM) 2.68 TWD
Dividend yield 4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.6%
Net cash 409M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 97
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shin Hai Gas Corporation supplies and sells natural gas and related equipment in Taiwan. The company provides microcomputer gas meters, gas leak alarms, shut-off valves, safety equipment, natural gas special stoves, and gas type clothes dryers. It also offers telecom services.

Full company description

Shin Hai Gas Corporation supplies and sells natural gas and related equipment in Taiwan. The company provides microcomputer gas meters, gas leak alarms, shut-off valves, safety equipment, natural gas special stoves, and gas type clothes dryers. It also offers telecom services. Shin Hai Gas Corporation was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shin Hai Gas Corporation reported revenue of 2.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.1B TWD in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was 482M TWD in FY2025, compounding +1.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.5B TWD
Latest YoY
+5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Revenue +3.6%/yr
FY21 2.1B TWD
FY22 2.2B TWD
FY23 2.3B TWD
FY24 2.3B TWD
FY25 2.5B TWD
Net income +1.8%/yr
FY21 449M TWD
FY22 452M TWD
FY23 468M TWD
FY24 474M TWD
FY25 482M TWD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +5.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +0.2 pp

of which total revenue +0.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +4.0 pp
Tax rate −0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

9926 screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shin Hai Gas Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9926

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −18% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Above median
Revenue growth -1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.3% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.08× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.58× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 10 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 46 · sector 34
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 86 · sector 67

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €28.84 €35.80 +24%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $177.68 $85.67 -52%
NiSource Inc NI $47.07 $28.59 -39%
Uniper SE UN0 €42.80 €49.13 +15%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$7.03 HK$5.08 -28%
Italgas S.p.A IG €9.98 €8.11 -19%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹171.71 ₹147.74 -14%
Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL ₹723.90 ₹101.36 -86%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥17.30 ¥25.71 +49%
UGI Corporation UGI $35.84 $27.13 -24%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shin Hai Gas Corporation (9926) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 40.50 TWD versus a price of 49.30 TWD, about −18% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9926?
Our model-based fair value for Shin Hai Gas Corporation is 40.50 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 49.30 TWD.
What is the quality score of 9926?
Shin Hai Gas Corporation has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shin Hai Gas Corporation (9926)?
Shin Hai Gas Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9926?
The net profit margin of Shin Hai Gas Corporation is about 19.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 19.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shin Hai Gas Corporation pay a dividend?
Shin Hai Gas Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.25% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 23, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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