Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Seres Group Co.,Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
10‑month range HK$35.94 – HK$129.79 · fair‑value band HK$94.38 – HK$175.27 · the HK$35.98 price screens below the HK$134.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 13, 2026.
Seres Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sales, and servicing of new energy vehicles and components in China and internationally. It offers vehicles, powertrains, batteries, and electric motors. The company was formerly known as Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Seres Group Co.,Ltd.
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Seres Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sales, and servicing of new energy vehicles and components in China and internationally. It offers vehicles, powertrains, batteries, and electric motors. The company was formerly known as Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Seres Group Co.,Ltd. in July 2022. Seres Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is based in Chongqing, China.
Stock analysis
Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927) currently trades at HK$35.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$134.82, implying the stock looks roughly 73.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$173.93 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$35.98 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$16.07, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: HK$94.38 (bear) to HK$175.27 (bull), the price of HK$35.98 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Seres Group Co.,Ltd reported revenue of 165B CNY in FY2025 versus 16.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +77.3%/yr. Reported net income was 6.0B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$80.0B (≈ $10.2B) · P/E ratio 11.1 · P/S ratio 0.40 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.4058 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 3.6% · Return on equity 18.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 72% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 275%, 9927 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$94.38Fair Value HK$134.82Bull HK$175.27
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+69.1%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−17.3% (2021) → 4.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+19.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 114 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+88% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Return on assets4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth35% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Seres Group Co.,Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9927.HK
Frequently asked questions
Is Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$134.82 versus a price of HK$35.98, about +275% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9927?
Our model-based fair value for Seres Group Co.,Ltd is HK$134.82 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$35.98.
What is the quality score of 9927?
Seres Group Co.,Ltd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$134.82 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$94.38, optimistic scenario HK$175.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Seres Group Co.,Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$134.82, about +275% upside versus a price of HK$35.98 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$94.38, optimistic scenario HK$175.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927)?
Seres Group Co.,Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$172B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Seres Group Co.,Ltd pay a dividend?
Seres Group Co.,Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.09% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Seres Group Co.,Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +77.3 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9927 use?
Our models discount Seres Group Co.,Ltd at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Seres Group Co.,Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Seres Group Co.,Ltd grew +77.3 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Seres Group Co.,Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 42.37 %: that much free cash flow Seres Group Co.,Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Seres Group Co.,Ltd it is HK$134.82 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of HK$35.98. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Seres Group Co.,Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 9927 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$35.98, fair value HK$134.82, a gap of about +275% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9927?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$35.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$134.82). For Seres Group Co.,Ltd the two are HK$98.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Seres Group Co.,Ltd worth?
The market values Seres Group Co.,Ltd at about HK$80.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$35.98; our models calculate a fair value of HK$134.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9927?
Our models span a range for Seres Group Co.,Ltd: cautious scenario HK$94.38, base HK$134.82, optimistic HK$175.27 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price HK$35.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9927?
Seres Group Co.,Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.1 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$134.82 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 0.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927)?
Balance-sheet figures for Seres Group Co.,Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 18.5%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9927 from its 52-week high?
Seres Group Co.,Ltd trades at HK$35.98, about 72% below its 52-week high of HK$129.79 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$134.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Seres Group Co.,Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, Hyundai Motor Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Seres Group Co.,Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price HK$35.98, calculated fair value HK$134.82 (+275%), Quality Score 63/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9927 calculated?
We run Seres Group Co.,Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$134.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Seres Group Co.,Ltd currently trades 275 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Seres Group Co.,Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$94.38). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$94.38 to HK$175.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Seres Group Co.,Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927)?
The market capitalisation of Seres Group Co.,Ltd is HK$80.0B (≈ $10.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Seres Group Co.,Ltd is 0.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927)?
Earnings per share at Seres Group Co.,Ltd are HK$0.4058 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927)?
The dividend yield of Seres Group Co.,Ltd is 3.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927)?
The net margin of Seres Group Co.,Ltd is 3.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Seres Group Co.,Ltd is 18.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Seres Group Co.,Ltd is −3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927)?
The operating margin of Seres Group Co.,Ltd is 3.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927)?
Revenue at Seres Group Co.,Ltd is growing +34.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +69.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927)?
Earnings per share at Seres Group Co.,Ltd are growing −14.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927) hold?
Seres Group Co.,Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$82.7B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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