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National Petroleum Co (9937) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 17.2B TWD

Price55.30 TWD
Fair Value46.06 TWD
Upside-16.7%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range 32.98 TWD – 60.28 TWD

Analysis

National Petroleum Co (9937) currently trades at 55.30 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 46.06 TWD — implying the stock looks roughly 16.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

National Petroleum Co., Ltd. engages in the gas stations business in Taiwan. The company sells gasoline, lubricant, and diesel fuel. It offers car wash services. National Petroleum Co., Ltd. was founded in 1977 and is based in Taipei City, Taiwan.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.