Archosaur Games Inc (9990) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Archosaur Games Inc HK$0.50, price HK$1.57, upside -68.2%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.05 – HK$15.50 · fair‑value band HK$0.4700 – HK$0.5400 · the HK$1.57 price screens above the HK$0.5000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Archosaur Games Inc., an investment holding company, develops and operates mobile games in Mainland China and internationally. The company primarily focuses on developing massively multiplayer online role-playing, female-oriented, strategy cards, idle RPG, simulation, and other genre games. Archosaur Games Inc.
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Archosaur Games Inc., an investment holding company, develops and operates mobile games in Mainland China and internationally. The company primarily focuses on developing massively multiplayer online role-playing, female-oriented, strategy cards, idle RPG, simulation, and other genre games. Archosaur Games Inc. was founded in 1997 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Archosaur Games Inc (9990) currently trades at HK$1.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5000, 68.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.4700 (bear) to HK$0.5400 (bull), the price of HK$1.57 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Archosaur Games Inc reported revenue of 1.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 921M CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was −36.7M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.6B (≈ $204M) · P/S ratio 1.23 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0100 · Net margin −2.8% · Return on equity −1.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.8% · Operating margin −13.9% · Revenue (TTM) 1.3B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at −68%, 9990 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.4700Fair Value HK$0.5000Bull HK$0.5400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.9% (2020) → −7.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 143 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Archosaur Games Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9990
Frequently asked questions
Is Archosaur Games Inc (9990) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.5000 versus a price of HK$1.57, about −68% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9990?
Our model-based fair value for Archosaur Games Inc is HK$0.5000 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.57.
What is the quality score of 9990?
Archosaur Games Inc has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Archosaur Games Inc (9990)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.5000 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.4700, optimistic scenario HK$0.5400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Archosaur Games Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.5000, about −68% upside versus a price of HK$1.57 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.4700, optimistic scenario HK$0.5400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Archosaur Games Inc (9990)?
Archosaur Games Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Archosaur Games Inc (9990)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Archosaur Games Inc it is HK$0.5000 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$1.57. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Archosaur Games Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 9990 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.57, fair value HK$0.5000, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9990?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.57); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.5000). For Archosaur Games Inc the two are HK$1.07 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Archosaur Games Inc worth?
The market values Archosaur Games Inc at about HK$1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.57; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.5000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9990?
Our models span a range for Archosaur Games Inc: cautious scenario HK$0.4700, base HK$0.5000, optimistic HK$0.5400 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$1.57). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Archosaur Games Inc (9990)?
Balance-sheet figures for Archosaur Games Inc (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −1.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9990 from its 52-week high?
Archosaur Games Inc trades at HK$1.57, about 41% below its 52-week high of HK$2.68 and 11% above the low of HK$1.41 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.5000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Archosaur Games Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, Zhejiang Century Huatong Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Archosaur Games Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$1.57, calculated fair value HK$0.5000 (−68%), Quality Score 54/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9990 calculated?
We run Archosaur Games Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.5000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Archosaur Games Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Archosaur Games Inc (9990)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$1.57. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.5000, about −68% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Archosaur Games Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.5400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.4700 to HK$0.5400), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Archosaur Games Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Archosaur Games Inc (9990)?
The market capitalisation of Archosaur Games Inc is HK$1.6B (≈ $204M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Archosaur Games Inc (9990)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Archosaur Games Inc is 1.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Archosaur Games Inc (9990)?
Earnings per share at Archosaur Games Inc are HK$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Archosaur Games Inc (9990)?
The net margin of Archosaur Games Inc is −2.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Archosaur Games Inc (9990)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Archosaur Games Inc is −1.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Archosaur Games Inc (9990)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Archosaur Games Inc is −12.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Archosaur Games Inc (9990)?
The operating margin of Archosaur Games Inc is −13.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Archosaur Games Inc (9990)?
Revenue at Archosaur Games Inc is growing −4.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +30.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Archosaur Games Inc (9990)?
Earnings per share at Archosaur Games Inc are growing −93.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Archosaur Games Inc (9990) generate?
The free cash flow of Archosaur Games Inc is −73.2M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Archosaur Games Inc (9990) hold?
Archosaur Games Inc holds more cash than debt, 151M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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