Archosaur Games Inc (9990) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$1.6B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −3.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.5000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.4500 to HK$0.5000), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.05 – HK$15.99 · fair‑value band HK$0.4500 – HK$0.5000 · the HK$2.00 price screens above the HK$0.4700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Archosaur Games Inc (9990) currently trades at HK$2.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4700, implying the stock looks roughly 76.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Archosaur Games Inc generated revenue of HK$1.3B at a net margin of -2.8%. Revenue declined 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$151M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4500 (bear case) to HK$0.5000 (bull case); at HK$2.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -77%, 9990 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Archosaur Games Inc., an investment holding company, develops and operates mobile games in Mainland China and internationally. The company primarily focuses on developing massively multiplayer online role-playing, female-oriented, strategy cards, idle RPG, simulation, and other genre games. Archosaur Games Inc.
Full company description
Archosaur Games Inc., an investment holding company, develops and operates mobile games in Mainland China and internationally. The company primarily focuses on developing massively multiplayer online role-playing, female-oriented, strategy cards, idle RPG, simulation, and other genre games. Archosaur Games Inc. was founded in 1997 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Archosaur Games Inc reported revenue of HK$1.3B in FY2025 versus HK$921M in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$36.7M in FY2025.
9990 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with NetEase, Inc →
Peer Group
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 155 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NetEase, Inc 9999 | HK$192.50 | HK$262.75 | +36% |
| Electronic Arts Inc EA | $209.70 | $76.57 | -63% |
| Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO | $243.00 | $60.20 | -75% |
| Roblox Corporation RBLX | $36.22 | $21.20 | -41% |
| Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 | ¥14.29 | ¥14.68 | +3% |
| KRAFTON, Inc 259960 | 234,500 KRW | 356,218 KRW | +52% |
| Giant Network Group 002558 | ¥28.57 | ¥15.50 | -46% |
| International Games System Co 3293 | 762.00 TWD | 568.16 TWD | -25% |
| 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 | ¥19.21 | ¥22.29 | +16% |
| Kingnet Network Co 002517 | ¥17.36 | ¥12.86 | -26% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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