A2A S.p.A (A2A) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · IT · Market cap €7.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price −0.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 35% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (€1.78 to €5.39). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.7828 – €2.60 · fair‑value band €1.78 – €5.39 · the €2.33 price screens below the €3.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
A2A S.p.A (A2A) currently trades at €2.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.13, implying the stock looks roughly 34.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, A2A S.p.A generated revenue of €14.6B at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue grew 14.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.5%. Net debt stands at €5.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €1.78 (bear case) to €5.39 (bull case); at €2.33, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 35%, A2A screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€4.07) versus Asset-Based (€1.27). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
A2A S.p.A. engages in the production, sale, and distribution of gas and electricity, and district heating in Italy and internationally. It generates electricity through hydroelectric, thermoelectric, photovoltaic, and wind plants; and sells and distributes gas.
Full company description
A2A S.p.A. engages in the production, sale, and distribution of gas and electricity, and district heating in Italy and internationally. It generates electricity through hydroelectric, thermoelectric, photovoltaic, and wind plants; and sells and distributes gas. The company also engages in the production and sale of heat produced through district heating networks; waste management activities, including collection and street sweeping, treatment, disposal, and recovery of materials and energy; and the construction and management of integrated waste disposal plants and systems. In addition, it offers integrated water cycle management services; and technical consultancy services relating to energy efficiency certificates. Further, the company is involved in the management of public lighting systems and street lights, and water purification and sewer activities, as well as offers garbage collection, street sweeping, video surveillance, energy efficiency, and electric mobility services. A2A S.p.A. is headquartered in Milan, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
A2A S.p.A reported revenue of €14.1B in FY2025 versus €11.4B in FY2021, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was €750M in FY2025, compounding +10.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Diversified · 51 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iberdrola, S.A IBE | €21.25 | €9.34 | -56% |
| Enel SpA ENEL | €10.28 | €5.83 | -43% |
| Engie SA 1ENGI | €26.59 | €17.39 | -35% |
| Sempra SRE | $93.15 | $47.77 | -49% |
| E.ON SE EOAN | €19.34 | €11.71 | -39% |
| RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and 1RWE | €56.52 | €29.64 | -48% |
| ACWA Power Company 2082 | 198.20 SAR | 25.38 SAR | -87% |
| Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN | C$55.05 | C$17.66 | -68% |
| EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK | €69.00 | €21.11 | -69% |
| EDP, S.A EDP | €4.41 | €3.81 | -14% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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