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PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 11.4T IDR

Price6,150 IDR
Fair Value16,058 IDR
Upside+161.1%
Quality92/100
Evidence: High Range 12,043 IDR – 20,072 IDR

Analysis

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI) currently trades at 6,150 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16,058 IDR — implying the stock looks roughly 161.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 92/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk engages in the crude palm oil and related derivatives business in Indonesia. It also offers palm kernel and its derivatives. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Astra International Tbk.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.