Adaptive Ad Systems Inc (AATV) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $4.5M

Below-average quality, screening 171% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
• The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.1900). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• A fairly wide model range ($0.1900 to $0.3600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0600 – $0.7990 · fair‑value band $0.1900 – $0.3600 · the $0.1070 price screens below the $0.2900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Adaptive Ad Systems Inc (AATV) currently trades at $0.1070, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2900, implying the stock looks roughly 171.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $11.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.1900 (bear case) to $0.3600 (bull case); at $0.1070, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at 171%, AATV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Adaptive Ad Systems Inc. operates as a digital media and video communications company in the United States. It, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, develops, and deploys dynamic digital ad insertion (DDAI) and streaming media hardware and proprietary processing software (DDAI) for the cable TV, satellite, and IPTV markets.

Full company description

Adaptive Ad Systems Inc. operates as a digital media and video communications company in the United States. It, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, develops, and deploys dynamic digital ad insertion (DDAI) and streaming media hardware and proprietary processing software (DDAI) for the cable TV, satellite, and IPTV markets. The company also offers high speed fixed wireless internet services (WISP) to residences and small offices via a network of Hybrid Access Points and Micro POPs. It serves approximately seventy-five designated marketing areas in approximately forty states. The company was formerly known as Adaptive Media, Inc. and changed its name to Adaptive Ad Systems, Inc. in June 2014. Adaptive Ad Systems Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Vancouver, Washington.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Adaptive Ad Systems Inc reported revenue of $1.9M in FY2025 versus $5.6M in FY2021, a compound −23.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.5M in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 199 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.