Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $3.9B
Asbury Automotive Group
ABG · US
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +4.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 110% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($240.83). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($240.83 to $561.53) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $141.06 – $305.86 · fair‑value band $240.83 – $561.53 · the $214.32 price screens below the $449.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) currently trades at $214.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $449.22, implying the stock looks roughly 109.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Asbury Automotive Group generated revenue of $18.0B at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue declined 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.5%. Net debt stands at $6.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $240.83 (bear case) to $561.53 (bull case); at $214.32, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 110%, ABG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($534.77) versus Asset-Based ($140.05). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an automotive retailer in the United States. It operates through Dealerships; and Total Care Auto, Powered by Asbury (TCA) segments.
Full company description
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an automotive retailer in the United States. It operates through Dealerships; and Total Care Auto, Powered by Asbury (TCA) segments. The company offers a range of automotive products and services, including new and used vehicles; and vehicle repair and maintenance services, replacement parts, collision repair, and reconditioning services for used vehicles. It also provides finance and insurance products, including arranging vehicle financing through third parties; and aftermarket products, such as extended vehicle service contracts, guaranteed asset protection debt cancellation, prepaid maintenance contracts, key replacement contracts, paintless dent repair contracts, appearance protection contracts, tire and wheel, and lease wear and tear contracts. The company sells its products and services to individual retail customers, other dealers, and licensed wholesalers through its network of dealerships, as well as at auctions. Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Asbury Automotive Group reported revenue of $18.0B in FY2025 versus $9.8B in FY2021, a compound +16.3%/yr. Reported net income was $492M in FY2025, compounding −2.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Implied Volatility Surging for Asbury Automotive Stock Options
- Can Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) Still Look Cheap After Q2 Results?
- ABG Q2 Earnings Beat on Used-Vehicle Gains, Revenues Miss
- Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary
Peer Group
Auto & Truck Dealerships · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 66/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carvana Co CVNA | $70.38 | $24.58 | -65% |
| Penske Automotive Group PAG | $202.66 | $241.86 | +19% |
| Hotai Motor Co 2207 | 476.50 TWD | 576.75 TWD | +21% |
| CarMax, Inc KMX | $58.47 | $29.62 | -49% |
| Lithia Motors, Inc LAD | $339.16 | $610.95 | +80% |
| AutoNation, Inc AN | $205.72 | $329.77 | +60% |
| Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA | $76.89 | $66.27 | -14% |
| Valvoline Inc VVV | $38.64 | $24.57 | -36% |
| OPENLANE, Inc OPLN | $39.46 | $33.81 | -14% |
| Eagers Automotive Limited APE | A$20.83 | A$17.66 | -15% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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