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OPENLANE, Inc (OPLN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $4.2B

OI OPENLANE, Inc logo OPENLANE, Inc OPLN · US
Price$36.98
Fair Value$33.81
Upside-8.6%
Quality69/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 9.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range $23.64 – $44.03 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $33.97 to $33.81 (−0.5%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price −6.5% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($23.64 to $44.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$42.90 $11.17 Fair Value $33.81 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.17 – $42.90 · fair‑value band $23.64 – $44.03 · the $36.98 price screens above the $33.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

OPENLANE, Inc (OPLN) currently trades at $36.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $33.81, implying the stock looks roughly 8.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, OPENLANE, Inc generated revenue of $2.0B at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue grew 14.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. Net debt stands at $1.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $23.64 (bear case) to $44.03 (bull case); at $36.98, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at -9%, OPLN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $29.15 $41.08 $56.58 80
Residual Income $13.06 $15.03 $27.89 76
Rev-Margin DCF $21.80 $33.51 $46.05 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $28.28 $41.13 $58.51 38
Owner Earnings $16.65 $24.82 $35.87 31
5Y Revenue Exit $21.80 $33.03 $46.64 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $29.10 $45.93 $64.54 41
5Y P/E Exit $22.76 $34.73 $46.46 38
10Y Revenue Exit $23.41 $33.71 $46.05 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $28.48 $42.20 $58.72 37
10Y P/E Exit $24.62 $34.83 $45.93 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $11.41 $25.65 $32.81 54
PEG = 1.0 $4.19 $5.99 $7.78 46
EPV $21.23 $25.16 $28.55 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.20 $5.08 $7.11 70
DDM Multi-Stage $3.20 $4.59 $6.09 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $26.42 $35.22 $44.03 63
P/S Multiple $21.39 $28.51 $35.64 58
P/B Multiple $21.39 $28.51 $35.64 55
EV/EBIT $35.13 $48.06 $61.00 53
EV/EBITDA $34.44 $47.14 $59.85 54
EV/Revenue $19.34 $29.20 $39.06 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.26 $9.72 $14.51 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $29.15 $41.08 $56.58 80
Rev-Margin DCF $21.80 $33.51 $46.05 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $13.06 $15.03 $27.89 76
ROIC Compounder $21.95 $27.39 $33.27 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $19.75 $28.21 $36.68 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($34.73) versus Dividend Discount ($4.59). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.7%
Net margin 9.5%
Return on equity 10.8%
Free cash flow $337M FY2025
Operating margin 18.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.7900
EPS growth (YoY) +94.4%
Net debt $1.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

OPENLANE, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a digital marketplace for wholesale used vehicles in the United States, Canada, Continental Europe, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through two segments, Marketplace and Finance.

Full company description

OPENLANE, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a digital marketplace for wholesale used vehicles in the United States, Canada, Continental Europe, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through two segments, Marketplace and Finance. The Marketplace segment includes various activities designed to facilitate the transfer of used vehicles for sellers and buyers; vehicle logistics center locations; SaaS-based private label remarketing solutions to automobile manufacturers, captive finance companies, and other commercial customers to digitally offer vehicles for sale; wholesale vehicle marketplaces; and value-added ancillary services including inbound and outbound transportation logistics, reconditioning and mechanical work, vehicle inspection and certification, titling, administrative, and collateral recovery services. This segment sells its products and services through commercial fleet operators, financial institutions, car rental companies, new and used vehicle dealers, and vehicle manufacturers. Its marketplaces include OPENLANE platform, a mobile app enabled solutions that allows dealers to sell and source inventory. The Finance segment offers floorplan financing, a short-term inventory-secured financing to independent vehicle dealers; liquidity for customer trade-ins; and title services. In addition, the company provides pre- and post-sale inspection; transportation and logistics; digital marketplace services; remarketing services; and vehicle research services. It serves commercial customers, and franchise and independent dealer customers. The company was formerly known as KAR Auction Services, Inc. and changed its name to OPENLANE, Inc. in May 2023. OPENLANE, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Carmel, Indiana.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

OPENLANE, Inc reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was $178M in FY2025, compounding +27.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.9B
Latest YoY
+8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+3.2%
Revenue +7.5%/yr
FY21 $1.5B
FY22 $1.5B
FY23 $1.6B
FY24 $1.8B
FY25 $1.9B
Net income +27.9%/yr
FY21 $66.5M
FY22 $241M
FY23 −$154M
FY24 $110M
FY25 $178M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OPENLANE, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OPLN

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Auto & Truck Dealerships · 102 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −9% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 15% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.35× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.72× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.09× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 12.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.22× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 22 · sector 21
FUTURE 74 · sector 9
PAST 43 · sector 20
HEALTH 83 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Carvana Co CVNA $70.38 $24.58 -65%
Penske Automotive Group PAG $202.66 $241.86 +19%
Hotai Motor Co 2207 476.50 TWD 576.75 TWD +21%
CarMax, Inc KMX $58.47 $29.62 -49%
Lithia Motors, Inc LAD $339.16 $610.95 +80%
AutoNation, Inc AN $205.72 $329.77 +60%
Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA $76.89 $66.27 -14%
Valvoline Inc VVV $38.64 $24.57 -36%
Eagers Automotive Limited APE A$20.83 A$17.66 -15%
Asbury Automotive Group ABG $211.97 $449.22 +112%

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Frequently asked questions

Is OPENLANE, Inc (OPLN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $33.81 versus a price of $36.98, about −9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of OPLN?
Our model-based fair value for OPENLANE, Inc is $33.81 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $36.98.
What is the quality score of OPLN?
OPENLANE, Inc has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of OPENLANE, Inc (OPLN)?
OPENLANE, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OPLN?
The net profit margin of OPENLANE, Inc is about 9.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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