AutoNation Inc (AN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what AutoNation Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
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Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $7.9B · ISIN US05329W1027
At a glance
AIAutoNation IncAN · US
Price$207.22
Fair Value$329.77
Upside+59.1%
Quality49/100
Below-average quality, trading 37% below our fair value of $329.77.
As of Aug 28, 2026, the fair value of AutoNation Inc is $329.77 per share against a price of $207.22, so the fair value sits 59% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.5% net margin
!High debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (8/13)
!Moderate moat 51/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: MediumRange $235.96 to $412.22
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price −0.6% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($235.96). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $88.77 – $229.98 · fair‑value band $235.96 – $412.22 · the $207.22 price screens below the $329.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
AutoNation Inc (AN) currently trades at $207.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $329.77, implying the stock looks roughly 37.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $1,393 per share, and 14 of the 17 models we run sit above the $207.22 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $46.88, and 3 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, AutoNation Inc generated revenue of $27.5B at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue declined 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.3%. Net debt stands at $10.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Scenario range: $235.96 (bear) to $412.22 (bull), the price of $207.22 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at 59%, AN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($12.83 per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio11.2
P/S ratio0.26P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)$18.44price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.2
Net margin2.3%FY2025
Return on equity29.3%TTM
Return on assets (EBIT)14.9%avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin4.7%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)$27.5BTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)−2.1%3y avg +0.8%
EPS growth (YoY)+31.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow−$198MFY2025
Net debt$10.1BFY2025
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality49/100
Of which business quality 46
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Profitability63
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance100
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
AutoNation, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an automotive retailer in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Domestic, Import, Premium Luxury, and AutoNation Finance.
Full company description
AutoNation, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an automotive retailer in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Domestic, Import, Premium Luxury, and AutoNation Finance. It offers a range of automotive products and services, including new and used vehicles; and parts and services, such as automotive repair and maintenance, and wholesale parts and collision services. The company also provides automotive finance and insurance products comprising vehicle services and other protection products; and indirect financing, as well as arranges finance for vehicle purchases through third-party finance sources. It owns and operates new vehicle franchises from stores located in metropolitan markets in the Sunbelt region, as well as AutoNation-branded collision centers, AutoNation USA used vehicle stores, AutoNation-branded automotive auction operations, and parts distribution centers. The company was formerly known as Republic Industries, Inc. and changed its name to AutoNation, Inc. in 1999. AutoNation, Inc. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AutoNation Inc reported revenue of $27.6B in FY2025 versus $25.8B in FY2021, a compound +1.7%/yr. Reported net income was $649M in FY2025, compounding −17.1%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 45/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$27.6B
Latest YoY
+3.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (37Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+33.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+22.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+22.3%
Dividend yield0.0%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 27.9% vs 10Y 15.9%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2.8% (2020) → 4.8% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop602% (2008) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
Revenue+1.7%/yr
FY21$25.8B
FY22$27.0B
FY23$26.9B
FY24$26.8B
FY25$27.6B
Net income−17.1%/yr
FY21$1.4B
FY22$1.4B
FY23$1.0B
FY24$692M
FY25$649M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025)+19.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share+15.3 %
of which total revenue +3.1 % · buybacks/dilution +11.8 %
EBIT margin+2.6 %
Tax rate+2.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs)−1.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE100· sector 31
FUTURE0· sector 13
PAST100· sector 20
HEALTH0· sector 90
DIVIDEND0· sector 68
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $329.77 versus a price of $207.22, about +59% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AN?
Our model-based fair value for AutoNation Inc is $329.77 (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $207.22.
What is the quality score of AN?
AutoNation Inc has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AutoNation Inc (AN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $329.77 (as of Aug 28, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario $235.96, optimistic scenario $412.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AutoNation Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $329.77, about +59% upside versus a price of $207.22 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $235.96, optimistic scenario $412.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AutoNation Inc (AN)?
AutoNation Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $27.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AN?
The net profit margin of AutoNation Inc is about 2.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What is the intrinsic value of AutoNation Inc (AN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AutoNation Inc it is $329.77 per share (as of Aug 28, 2026), against a price of $207.22. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AutoNation Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 28, 2026, AN trades below its calculated fair value: price $207.22, fair value $329.77, a gap of about +59% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($207.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($329.77). For AutoNation Inc the two are $122.55 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AutoNation Inc worth?
The market values AutoNation Inc at about $7.9B (market capitalisation, as of Aug 28, 2026). Per share that is $207.22; our models calculate a fair value of $329.77 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AN?
Our models span a range for AutoNation Inc: cautious scenario $235.96, base $329.77, optimistic $412.22 per share (as of Aug 28, 2026, price $207.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AN?
AutoNation Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.2 (as of Aug 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $329.77 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 2.9, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 8.0.
What is the PEG ratio of AN?
The PEG ratio of AutoNation Inc is 0.77 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Aug 28, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of AutoNation Inc (AN)?
Balance-sheet figures for AutoNation Inc (as of Aug 28, 2026): return on equity 29.3%, debt of 2.39 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AN from its 52-week high?
AutoNation Inc trades at $207.22, about 9% below its 52-week high of $228.92 and 17% above the low of $176.62 (as of Aug 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $329.77 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AutoNation Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Carvana Co, Penske Automotive Group, D'Ieteren Group, Hotai Motor Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AutoNation Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 28, 2026: price $207.22, calculated fair value $329.77 (+59%), Quality Score 49/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AN calculated?
We run AutoNation Inc through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $329.77, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. AutoNation Inc currently trades 59 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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AutoNation Inc
AN · US