Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors

Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Adore Beauty Group Ltd A$0.75, price A$0.29, upside +158.6%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · AU · ISIN AU0000109506

AB Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Adore Beauty Group Ltd

ABY · AU

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value A$0.7500 · Strongly undervalued (+159%)

!Quality 53/100

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +10.4 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 0.2% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)

!Narrow moat 22/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on past: 3 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear A$0.5000 to bull A$1.16 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 53/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.2400 – A$5.26 · fair‑value band A$0.5000 – A$1.16 · the A$0.2900 price screens below the A$0.7500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Adore Beauty Group Limited operates an integrated content, marketing, and e-commerce retail platform in Australia and New Zealand. The company engages in the retail of beauty and personal care products, including skin, hair, make up, accessories, and others, as well as wellness and fragrance products under various brands. It also offers Beauty IQ, an editorial content platform that offers beauty news, reviews, tips, and expert how-to articles to educate the customers on purchasing decisions. The company distributes its products through online channels and retail stores. Adore Beauty Group Limited was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Southbank, Australia.

Stock analysis

Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY) currently trades at A$0.2900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.7500, implying the stock looks roughly 61.3% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$2.23 per share, and 14 of the 23 models we run sit above the A$0.2900 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at A$0.1100, and 9 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$0.5000 (bear) to A$1.16 (bull), the price of A$0.2900 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Adore Beauty Group Ltd reported revenue of A$199M in FY2024 versus A$179M in FY2020, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$761K in FY2024, compounding −2.6%/yr from FY2020.

Key figures

Market cap A$28.1M (≈ $19.7M) · P/S ratio 0.13 · Net margin 0.4% · Return on equity 0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.9% · Operating margin 1.1% · Revenue (TTM) A$208M · Revenue growth (YoY) +8.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at 159%, ABY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.5000 Fair Value A$0.7500 Bull A$1.16

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF A$0.5200 A$0.8500 A$1.41 78

Growth DCF A$0.5200 A$0.8000 A$1.28 77

EPV A$2.14 A$2.46 A$2.73 74

All 23 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF A$0.5200 A$0.8500 A$1.41 78

5Y Revenue Exit A$1.45 A$2.80 A$4.70 70

5Y EBITDA Exit A$1.89 A$3.71 A$6.09 73

5Y P/E Exit A$0.3500 A$0.4600 A$0.6000 72

10Y Revenue Exit A$1.07 A$2.23 A$4.15 63

10Y EBITDA Exit A$1.41 A$2.89 A$5.31 65

10Y P/E Exit A$0.4000 A$0.5300 A$0.7100 65

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd A$0.0600 A$0.2800 A$0.3800 64

Lynch FV A$0.0700 A$0.1100 A$0.1400 61

PEG = 1.0 A$0.0700 A$0.1100 A$0.1400 57

EPV A$2.14 A$2.46 A$2.73 74

Multiples

P/E Multiple A$0.1300 A$0.1800 A$0.2200 63

P/S Multiple A$0.1000 A$0.1400 A$0.1700 58

P/B Multiple A$0.1000 A$0.1400 A$0.1700 55

EV/EBIT A$3.45 A$4.55 A$5.66 66

EV/EBITDA A$2.73 A$3.60 A$4.47 67

EV/Revenue A$1.91 A$2.67 A$3.44 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) A$0.2100 A$0.2900 A$0.4300 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF A$0.5200 A$0.8000 A$1.28 77

Rev-Margin DCF A$1.45 A$2.73 A$4.42 70

Economic Profit

Residual Income A$0.3000 A$0.2800 A$0.2100 71

ROIC Compounder A$2.29 A$2.80 A$3.36 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E A$0.1200 A$0.1700 A$0.2200 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 52

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 33

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 37

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 84

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 74

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 22

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 21

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 2

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 61

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 69/100

Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Revenue growth 1 year

+1.6%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−0.1%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+10.4%

Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+27.8%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

−3.8%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−3.8%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Profit margin 2016 to 2023 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 1%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price

The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

−11.8%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect

n/a

No analyst forecast available.

After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −14.4% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 229 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 53 · Below median

Fair Value upside +159% · Top 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median

Return on assets 2% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 9% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.49× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheapest 25%

P/FCF 7.6× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 2.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 45

FUTURE (revenue growth)44 · sector 25

PAST (return on equity)3 · sector 27

HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 64

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD	C$79.65	C$105.59	+33%
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY	$597.31	$405.44	−32%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM	$227.83	$163.98	−28%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA	$543.81	$647.05	+19%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS	$133.94	$177.50	+33%
Best Buy Co BBY	$90.80	$94.24	+4%
China Tourism Group 601888	¥52.27	¥40.40	−23%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO	$32.29	$36.35	+13%
Five Below, Inc FIVE	$232.28	$184.19	−21%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA	$508.14	$358.33	−29%

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Adore Beauty Group Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.7500 +61%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABY" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Adore Beauty Group Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">A$0.7500</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+61%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Adore Beauty Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABY

Frequently asked questions

Is Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.7500 versus a price of A$0.2900, about +159% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of ABY?

Our model-based fair value for Adore Beauty Group Ltd is A$0.7500 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2900.

What is the quality score of ABY?

Adore Beauty Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.7500 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.5000, optimistic scenario A$1.16. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Adore Beauty Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at A$0.7500, about +159% upside versus a price of A$0.2900 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.5000, optimistic scenario A$1.16. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?

Adore Beauty Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$208M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).

What growth is priced into Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Adore Beauty Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -11.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ABY use?

Our models discount Adore Beauty Group Ltd at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.22, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Adore Beauty Group Ltd that is -11.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Adore Beauty Group Ltd grew +10.4 % a year. The price currently implies -11.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Adore Beauty Group Ltd (-11.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.26 %: that much free cash flow Adore Beauty Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Adore Beauty Group Ltd it is A$0.7500 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.2900. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Adore Beauty Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 23, 2026, ABY trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.2900, fair value A$0.7500, a gap of about +159% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of ABY?

No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.7500). For Adore Beauty Group Ltd the two are A$0.4600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Adore Beauty Group Ltd worth?

The market values Adore Beauty Group Ltd at about A$28.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2900; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.7500 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABY?

Our models span a range for Adore Beauty Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.5000, base A$0.7500, optimistic A$1.16 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.2900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?

Balance-sheet figures for Adore Beauty Group Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 0.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is ABY from its 52-week high?

Adore Beauty Group Ltd trades at A$0.2900, about 78% below its 52-week high of A$1.30 and 21% above the low of A$0.2400 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.7500 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Adore Beauty Group Ltd?

From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Adore Beauty Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.2900, calculated fair value A$0.7500 (+159%), Quality Score 53/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of ABY calculated?

We run Adore Beauty Group Ltd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.7500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Adore Beauty Group Ltd currently trades 159 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?

The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.2900. Our model-based fair value is A$0.7500, about +159% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Adore Beauty Group Ltd right now?

The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.5000). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (A$0.5000 to A$1.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Adore Beauty Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?

The market capitalisation of Adore Beauty Group Ltd is A$28.1M (≈ $19.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Adore Beauty Group Ltd is 0.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What is the net margin of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?

The net margin of Adore Beauty Group Ltd is 0.4% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Adore Beauty Group Ltd is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Adore Beauty Group Ltd is 8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?

The operating margin of Adore Beauty Group Ltd is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?

Revenue at Adore Beauty Group Ltd is growing +8.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?

Earnings per share at Adore Beauty Group Ltd are growing −70.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net cash does Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY) hold?

Adore Beauty Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$2.2M net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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