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Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Adore Beauty Group Ltd stock A$0.29, price A$0.27, upside +9.4%, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical AU · ISIN AU0000109506

AB Adore Beauty Group Ltd logo Thin data Nov 3, 2026

Adore Beauty Group Ltd

ABY · AU
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Low debt
Fair value A$0.2900 · Fairly valued
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +2.9 %/yr in AUD)
Profit last quarter 71% below a year ago.
Quality 38/100
Loss-making · -2.1% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 11/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$5.20 A$0.2400 Fair Value A$0.2900 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.2400 – A$5.20 · fair‑value band A$0.1000 – A$0.4700 · the A$0.2650 price screens below the A$0.2900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Adore Beauty Group Limited operates an integrated content, marketing, and e-commerce retail platform in Australia and New Zealand.

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The company engages in the retail of beauty and personal care products, including skin, hair, make up, accessories, and others, as well as wellness and fragrance products under various brands.

It also offers Beauty IQ, an editorial content platform that offers beauty news, reviews, tips, and expert how-to articles to educate the customers on purchasing decisions. The company distributes its products through online channels and retail stores.

Adore Beauty Group Limited was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Southbank, Australia.

Stock analysis

Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY) currently trades at A$0.2650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2900, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 8.6%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.1000 (bear) to A$0.4700 (bull), the price of A$0.2650 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Adore Beauty Group Ltd reported revenue of A$207M in FY2025 versus A$200M in FY2021, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$4.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$24.9M (≈ $17.2M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0500 · Net margin −2.1% · Return on equity −11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin −4.8% · Revenue (TTM) A$207M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 11 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 80% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at 9%, ABY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.1000 Fair Value A$0.2900 Bull A$0.4700
Price A$0.2650 · Upside +9.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA A$0.1000 A$0.2900 A$0.4700 62
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0400 A$0.0500 A$0.0800 53
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA A$0.1000 A$0.2900 A$0.4700 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0400 A$0.0500 A$0.0800 53

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 32
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 4
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 44
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 56
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 22
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 14
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 1
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 92
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.8% (2021) → −1.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 203 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +9.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −4.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −2.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −4.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −0.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.69× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.12× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)46 · sector 51
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 33
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 54

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $140.82 $201.62 +43% vs ABY
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD C$83.20 C$106.00 +27% vs ABY
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $644.76 $650.56 +1% vs ABY
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $36.35 $36.33 +0% vs ABY
Best Buy Co BBY $99.63 $94.70 −5% vs ABY
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥53.39 ¥48.19 −10% vs ABY
Five Below, Inc FIVE $240.30 $184.99 −23% vs ABY
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $254.06 $164.11 −35% vs ABY
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $687.64 $405.93 −41% vs ABY
GameStop Corp GME $25.12 $11.87 −53% vs ABY

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Adore Beauty Group Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Adore Beauty Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABY

Frequently asked questions

Is Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.2900 versus a price of A$0.2650, about +9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ABY?
Our model-based fair value for Adore Beauty Group Ltd is A$0.2900 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2650.
What is the quality score of ABY?
Adore Beauty Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.2900 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.1000, optimistic scenario A$0.4700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Adore Beauty Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.2900, about +9% upside versus a price of A$0.2650 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.1000, optimistic scenario A$0.4700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?
Adore Beauty Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$207M (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Adore Beauty Group Ltd it is A$0.2900 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of A$0.2650. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Adore Beauty Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, ABY trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.2650, fair value A$0.2900, a gap of about +9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ABY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2650); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.2900). For Adore Beauty Group Ltd the two are A$0.0250 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Adore Beauty Group Ltd worth?
The market values Adore Beauty Group Ltd at about A$24.9M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2650; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.2900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABY?
Our models span a range for Adore Beauty Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.1000, base A$0.2900, optimistic A$0.4700 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price A$0.2650). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Adore Beauty Group Ltd (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity −11.5%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ABY from its 52-week high?
Adore Beauty Group Ltd trades at A$0.2650, about 80% below its 52-week high of A$1.30 and 10% above the low of A$0.2400 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.2900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Adore Beauty Group Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Adore Beauty Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price A$0.2650, calculated fair value A$0.2900 (+9%), Quality Score 38/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ABY calculated?
We run Adore Beauty Group Ltd through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.2900 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Adore Beauty Group Ltd currently trades 9% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.2650. Our model-based fair value is A$0.2900, about +9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Adore Beauty Group Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (A$0.1000 to A$0.4700). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Adore Beauty Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?
The market capitalisation of Adore Beauty Group Ltd is A$24.9M (≈ $17.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Adore Beauty Group Ltd is 0.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?
Earnings per share at Adore Beauty Group Ltd are A$−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?
The net margin of Adore Beauty Group Ltd is −2.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Adore Beauty Group Ltd is −11.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Adore Beauty Group Ltd is 6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?
The operating margin of Adore Beauty Group Ltd is −4.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?
Revenue at Adore Beauty Group Ltd is growing −0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY)?
Earnings per share at Adore Beauty Group Ltd are growing −70.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY) generate?
The free cash flow of Adore Beauty Group Ltd is −A$17.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ABY) carry?
The net debt of Adore Beauty Group Ltd is A$41.8M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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