Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V stock MXN 242, price MXN 218, upside +11.1%, quality 65 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?Yes
Good quality?Yes
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 97.72 MXN – 226.47 MXN · fair‑value band 151.33 MXN – 302.67 MXN · the 218.02 MXN price screens below the 242.13 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
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Arca Continental, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, and sells soft drinks in Mexico, Argentina, Ecuador, Peru, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Beverages and Other segments.
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Its products include savory snack food; cola and flavored soft drinks; purified and flavored water; fruit/soy, energy/sports, and enhanced drinks; tea; iced coffee/instant; milk whole/light/flavored; yogurt, milk, gelatin, hydration beverages and ice cream; snow/cones; potato, plantain, and tortilla chips; corn puffs; popcorn; pork rinds; peanuts/seeds; sauces/dips; candies/sugar; baked goods; and other carbonated and non-carbonated, and dairy beverages.
The company sells its products under the Coca-Cola, Bokados, Wise, Inalecsa, and other brands. Arca Continental, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Monterrey, Mexico.
Stock analysis
Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC) currently trades at 218.02 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 242.13 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 10.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 267.69 MXN per share, and 15 of the 26 models we run sit above the 218.02 MXN price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 89.92 MXN, and 11 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 151.33 MXN (bear) to 302.67 MXN (bull), the price of 218.02 MXN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of 250B MXN in FY2025 versus 186B MXN in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was 19.6B MXN in FY2025, compounding +12.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 370B MXN (≈ $19.8B) Large · P/E ratio 6.5 · P/S ratio 0.51 · EPS (TTM) 33.67 MXN · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 7.8% · Return on equity 14.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 11%, AC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear151.33 MXNFair Value 242.13 MXNBull302.67 MXN
Price 218.02 MXN · Upside +11.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (22.52 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.6% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MXN ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+17.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.14.5% vs 8.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 16%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.5% a year for the price and +1.9% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (62 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 82 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Above median
Fair Value upside+11.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)14.3% · Above median
Return on assets6.7% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)7.5% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)16.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.30× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AC.MX
Frequently asked questions
Is Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 242.13 MXN versus a price of 218.02 MXN, about +11% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AC?
Our model-based fair value for Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V is 242.13 MXN (as of Oct 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 218.02 MXN.
What is the quality score of AC?
Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 242.13 MXN (as of Oct 22, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 151.33 MXN, optimistic scenario 302.67 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 242.13 MXN, about +11% upside versus a price of 218.02 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 151.33 MXN, optimistic scenario 302.67 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC)?
Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 250B MXN (latest available figure, as of Oct 22, 2026).
Does Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V pay a dividend?
Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V currently shows a dividend yield of 2.88% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 22, 2026).
What growth is priced into Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V would have to grow free cash flow by +12.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.8 % per year. As of Oct 22, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AC use?
Our models discount Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.08, country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V that is +12.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V grew +7.8 % a year. The price currently implies +12.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (+12.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.99 %: that much free cash flow Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V it is 242.13 MXN per share (as of Oct 22, 2026), against a price of 218.02 MXN. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 22, 2026, AC trades below its calculated fair value: price 218.02 MXN, fair value 242.13 MXN, a gap of about +11% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (218.02 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (242.13 MXN). For Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V the two are 24.11 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V worth?
The market values Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V at about 370B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Oct 22, 2026). Per share that is 218.02 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 242.13 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AC?
Our models span a range for Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V: cautious scenario 151.33 MXN, base 242.13 MXN, optimistic 302.67 MXN per share (as of Oct 22, 2026, price 218.02 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AC?
Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.5 (as of Oct 22, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 242.13 MXN is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 18.3. Other multiples: PEG 2.3, P/B 2.9, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 7.8.
What is the PEG ratio of AC?
The PEG ratio of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V is 2.28 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 22, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (as of Oct 22, 2026): return on equity 14.3%, debt of 0.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AC from its 52-week high?
Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V trades at 218.02 MXN, about 4% below its 52-week high of 226.47 MXN and 28% above the low of 170.08 MXN (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 242.13 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 22, 2026: price 218.02 MXN, calculated fair value 242.13 MXN (+11%), Quality Score 65/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AC calculated?
We run Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 242.13 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was 218.02 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 242.13 MXN, about +11% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V right now?
A fairly wide model range (151.33 MXN to 302.67 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V
How large is the market capitalisation of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC)?
The market capitalisation of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V is 370B MXN (≈ $19.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V is 0.51 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC)?
Earnings per share at Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V are 33.67 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC)?
The dividend yield of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V is 2.9% (payout 18.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC)?
The net margin of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V is 7.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V is 14.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V is 12.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC)?
The operating margin of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V is 16.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC)?
Revenue at Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V is growing +0.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC)?
Earnings per share at Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V are growing −9.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V (AC) carry?
The net debt of Arca Continental S.A.B. de C.V is 35.1B MXN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 22, 2026