Adra Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi Anonim Sirketi (ADGYO) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · TR · Market cap 26.0B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 4, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated today
Share price −11.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 73% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (16.18 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
34‑month range 24.92 TRY – 71.00 TRY · fair‑value band 9.64 TRY – 16.18 TRY · the 47.56 TRY price screens above the 12.91 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.
Analysis
Adra Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi Anonim Sirketi (ADGYO) currently trades at 47.56 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.91 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 72.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Adra Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi Anonim Sirketi generated revenue of 838M TRY at a net margin of -93.5%. Revenue grew 17.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.1%. Net debt stands at 91.1M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 4, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 9.64 TRY (bear case) to 16.18 TRY (bull case); at 47.56 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -73%, ADGYO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (73.52 TRY) versus Earnings-Based (8.22 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Adra Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi Anonim Sirketi operates as a real estate investment trust in Turkey. The company manages portfolios of real estate, real estate projects, real estate-based rights, capital market instruments, and other assets. It also engages in real estate investment activities.
Full company description
Adra Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi Anonim Sirketi operates as a real estate investment trust in Turkey. The company manages portfolios of real estate, real estate projects, real estate-based rights, capital market instruments, and other assets. It also engages in real estate investment activities. In addition, the company engages in establishment, rental, operation of hotels, motels, hostels, campsites, and guesthouses for tourism, and business operations. Adra Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi Anonim Sirketi was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Izmir, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Adra Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 807M TRY in FY2025 versus 10.6M TRY in FY2021, a compound +195.3%/yr. Reported net income was −606M TRY in FY2025.
ADGYO screens 73% overvalued. Compare with AvalonBay Communities, Inc →
Peer Group
REIT - Residential · 55 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Residential median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Residential stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 4, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| AvalonBay Communities, Inc AVB | $190.80 | $126.12 | -34% |
| EQR EQR | $67.86 | $38.10 | -44% |
| Essex Property Trust, Inc ESS | $293.46 | $177.90 | -39% |
| Invitation Homes INVH | $29.78 | $16.82 | -44% |
| Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc MAA | $133.88 | $65.28 | -51% |
| Sun Communities, Inc SUI | $121.83 | $114.79 | -6% |
| UDR, Inc UDR | $39.59 | $19.76 | -50% |
| American Homes 4 Rent (AMH or the General Partner) AMH | $33.11 | $21.44 | -35% |
| Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc ELS | $66.05 | $21.27 | -68% |
| Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company CPT | $113.73 | $41.87 | -63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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