Andrew Peller Limited (ADW-A) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CA · Market cap C$350M (≈ $253M) · ISIN CA03444Q2099
What is Andrew Peller Limited really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of C$8.71.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price +0.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (C$5.75 to C$11.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$3.23 – C$8.66 · fair‑value band C$5.75 – C$11.43 · the C$8.00 price screens below the C$8.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Andrew Peller Limited (ADW-A) currently trades at C$8.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$8.71, implying the stock looks roughly 8.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$11.08 per share, and 13 of the 23 models we run sit above the C$8.00 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at C$2.26, and 10 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Andrew Peller Limited generated revenue of C$389M at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.2%. Net debt stands at C$158M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$5.75 (bear case) to C$11.43 (bull case); at C$8.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 82% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 9%, ADW-A screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly C$0.1576 per share, which is 1.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$11.08) versus Earnings-Based (C$2.26). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
Notify me when ADW-A reaches fair value
Put ADW-A on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 90
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Andrew Peller Limited produces and markets wines and craft beverage alcohol products in Canada. The company offers wines under the Peller Estates, Trius, Thirty Bench, Wayne Gretzky, Sandhill, Red Rooster, Black Hills Estate Winery, Tinhorn Creek Vineyards, and Gray Monk Estate Winery brands; Peller Family Vineyards, Copper Moon, Black Cellar, Vivo, Honest …
Full company description
Andrew Peller Limited produces and markets wines and craft beverage alcohol products in Canada. The company offers wines under the Peller Estates, Trius, Thirty Bench, Wayne Gretzky, Sandhill, Red Rooster, Black Hills Estate Winery, Tinhorn Creek Vineyards, and Gray Monk Estate Winery brands; Peller Family Vineyards, Copper Moon, Black Cellar, Vivo, Honest Lot, and XOXO brands; and Hochtaler, Domaine D'Or, Schloss Laderheim, Royal, Sommet, and other brands. It also produces craft ciders under the No Boats on Sunday brand; and various spirits and cream whisky products under the Wayne Gretzky No. 99 brand. In addition, the company produces and markets personal winemaking products under the Winexpert, Vine Co., Apres, Limited Edition, Passport Series, On the House, Wild Grapes, Island Mist, and Niagara Mist brands. Further, it owns and operates independent retail locations in Ontario under The Wine Shop, Wine Country Vintners, and Wine Country Merchants store names; and operates Andrew Peller Import Agency and The Small Winemaker's Collection Inc. that import and market wines. Andrew Peller Limited was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Grimsby, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Andrew Peller Limited reported revenue of C$393M in FY2026 versus C$374M in FY2022, a compound +1.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$27.1M in FY2026, compounding +21.4%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +1.8 % · buybacks/dilution +0.7 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch ADW-A: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 93 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,303 | ¥1,238 | −5% |
| Diageo plc DEO | $92.99 | $73.29 | −21% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥71.89 | ¥48.44 | −33% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥116.39 | ¥185.80 | +60% |
| Pernod Ricard SA RI | €63.20 | €76.13 | +20% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥84.50 | ¥149.17 | +77% |
| Brown-Forman Corporation BFA | $28.72 | $27.69 | −4% |
| United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR | ₹1,528 | ₹285.39 | −81% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 | 0.4650 SGD | 0.7000 SGD | +51% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥39.59 | ¥27.82 | −30% |
Compare Andrew Peller Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Andrew Peller Limited (ADW-A) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of ADW-A?
What is the quality score of ADW-A?
What is the revenue of Andrew Peller Limited (ADW-A)?
What is the net profit margin of ADW-A?
Does Andrew Peller Limited pay a dividend?
Watch Andrew Peller Limited in the live analysis
One click puts Andrew Peller Limited on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.