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AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company (AEONTS) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · TH · Market cap 27.2B THB

AT AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company AEONTS · BK
Price104.50 THB
Fair Value162.75 THB
Upside+55.7%
Quality66/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 26.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
5.00% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range 104.05 THB – 260.72 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +1.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 56% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (104.05 THB to 260.72 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

191.78 THB 84.74 THB Fair Value 162.75 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 84.74 THB – 191.78 THB · fair‑value band 104.05 THB – 260.72 THB · the 104.50 THB price screens below the 162.75 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company (AEONTS) currently trades at 104.50 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 162.75 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 55.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company generated revenue of 11.7B THB at a net margin of 26.5%. Revenue declined 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. Net debt stands at 54.3B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 104.05 THB (bear case) to 260.72 THB (bull case); at 104.50 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 56%, AEONTS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 222.81 THB 507.00 THB 1,002 THB 80
Residual Income 100.50 THB 115.83 THB 206.58 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 57.58 THB 164.34 THB 306.76 THB 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 70.80 THB 248.07 THB 568.20 THB 31
5Y P/E Exit 61.69 THB 172.35 THB 297.03 THB 38
10Y P/E Exit 113.77 THB 236.02 THB 405.21 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 85.13 THB 433.09 THB 598.27 THB 54
Lynch FV 117.78 THB 168.26 THB 218.74 THB 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 52.28 THB 108.69 THB 172.43 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 52.28 THB 91.65 THB 114.08 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 122.06 THB 162.75 THB 203.44 THB 63
P/B Multiple 115.53 THB 154.05 THB 192.56 THB 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 55.02 THB 73.72 THB 110.03 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 222.81 THB 507.00 THB 1,002 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 57.58 THB 164.34 THB 306.76 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 100.50 THB 115.83 THB 206.58 THB 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (236.02 THB) versus Asset-Based (73.72 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 11.7B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.3%
Net margin 26.5%
Return on equity 11.4%
Free cash flow 6.6B THB FY2026
P/E ratio 8.8
More key figures
Operating margin 36.3%
EPS (TTM) 12.55 THB
Dividend yield 5.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +26.9%
Net debt 54.3B THB FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited provides various retail finance services in Thailand and internationally. It operates through Retail Finance Services and Other Business segments.

Full company description

AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited provides various retail finance services in Thailand and internationally. It operates through Retail Finance Services and Other Business segments. The company offers credit cards, hire purchase, personal loans, and other services; and debt collection and insurance brokerage services, as well as microfinance services. In addition, it engages in non-life and life insurance brokerage services; retail finance business; securitization projects; and non-performing assets management business. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company reported revenue of 19.1B THB in FY2026 versus 19.4B THB in FY2022, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 3.1B THB in FY2026, compounding −3.4%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
19.1B THB
Latest YoY
−4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+12.0%
Revenue −0.4%/yr
FY22 19.4B THB
FY23 20.6B THB
FY24 20.1B THB
FY25 19.9B THB
FY26 19.1B THB
Net income −3.4%/yr
FY22 3.6B THB
FY23 3.8B THB
FY24 3.3B THB
FY25 2.9B THB
FY26 3.1B THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AEONTS

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +56% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 27% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 36% · Above median
Revenue growth -5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.00× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.33× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 12.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.65× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 35
FUTURE 0 · sector 39
PAST 45 · sector 32
HEALTH 42 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company (AEONTS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 162.75 THB versus a price of 104.50 THB, about +56% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AEONTS?
Our model-based fair value for AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company is 162.75 THB (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 104.50 THB.
What is the quality score of AEONTS?
AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company (AEONTS)?
AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.7B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AEONTS?
The net profit margin of AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company is about 26.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 26.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company pay a dividend?
AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.87% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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