Ag Growth International Inc (AFN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Ag Growth International Inc C$2.65, price C$13.18, upside -79.9%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$12.59 – C$62.29 · fair‑value band C$2.65 – C$10.60 · the C$13.18 price screens above the C$2.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Ag Growth International Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides equipment solutions for bulk agriculture commodities Canada, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Farm and Commercial segments.
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Ag Growth International Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides equipment solutions for bulk agriculture commodities Canada, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Farm and Commercial segments. The company offers grain, bolted, hopper, and smooth wall bins; temporary storage; unloads and sweeps systems; water tanks; secondary containment systems; liquid storage tanks; and accessories, as well as mixed flow dryers, fans and heaters, aeration products, aeration floors, vents and exhausters, and stirring systems. It also provides portable handling equipment, such as augers, conveyors, grain vacs, post pounders, seed treaters, and related accessories; and permanent handling equipment, comprising bucket elevators, chain and belt conveyors, enclosed belt conveyers, distributors, feed handling, screw feeders and conveyors, and spouts and connectors. In addition, the company offers towers, catwalks, and ladders, as well as all-steel buildings; batch blenders, bulk scales, declining weight blenders, vertical blenders, micro-dosing systems, mixers, and milling equipment; and controllers, hazard monitoring, and monitoring and automation equipment. Further, it provides planning and engineering services for the storage, blending, mixing, conveying, conditioning, and processing of agricultural products. Its products are used in port facility operators, food processors and grain elevators, and ethanol producers. Ag Growth International Inc. was founded in 1996 and is based in Winnipeg, Canada.
Stock analysis
Ag Growth International Inc (AFN) currently trades at C$13.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$2.65, implying the stock looks roughly 397.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$23.19 per share, and 4 of the 5 models we run sit above the C$13.18 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$8.77, and 1 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: C$2.65 (bear) to C$10.60 (bull), the price of C$13.18 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Ag Growth International Inc reported revenue of C$1.4B in FY2025 versus C$1.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was −C$26.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$377M (≈ $267M) · P/S ratio 0.27 · EPS (TTM) C$−2.86 · Dividend yield 4.6% · Net margin −1.9% · Return on equity −17.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.1% · Operating margin −0.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at −80%, AFN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$2.65Fair Value C$2.65Bull C$10.60
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.29/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.2% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.3% (2020) → 8.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Ag Growth International Inc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 154 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−80% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity3.55× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.08× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.19× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA7.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG2.01× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 40
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 30
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)91· sector 41
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ag Growth International Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AFN
Frequently asked questions
Is Ag Growth International Inc (AFN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$2.65 versus a price of C$13.18, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AFN?
Our model-based fair value for Ag Growth International Inc is C$2.65 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$13.18.
What is the quality score of AFN?
Ag Growth International Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ag Growth International Inc (AFN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$2.65 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$2.65, optimistic scenario C$10.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ag Growth International Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$2.65, about −80% upside versus a price of C$13.18 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$2.65, optimistic scenario C$10.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ag Growth International Inc (AFN)?
Ag Growth International Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ag Growth International Inc pay a dividend?
Ag Growth International Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.55% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ag Growth International Inc (AFN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ag Growth International Inc it is C$2.65 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of C$13.18. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ag Growth International Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AFN trades above its calculated fair value: price C$13.18, fair value C$2.65, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AFN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$13.18); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$2.65). For Ag Growth International Inc the two are C$10.53 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ag Growth International Inc worth?
The market values Ag Growth International Inc at about C$377M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is C$13.18; our models calculate a fair value of C$2.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AFN?
Our models span a range for Ag Growth International Inc: cautious scenario C$2.65, base C$2.65, optimistic C$10.60 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price C$13.18). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of AFN?
The PEG ratio of Ag Growth International Inc is 2.01 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ag Growth International Inc (AFN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ag Growth International Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −17.5%, debt of 3.55 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AFN from its 52-week high?
Ag Growth International Inc trades at C$13.18, about 65% below its 52-week high of C$37.49 and 5% above the low of C$12.59 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$2.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ag Growth International Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ag Growth International Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price C$13.18, calculated fair value C$2.65 (−80%), Quality Score 43/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AFN calculated?
We run Ag Growth International Inc through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$2.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ag Growth International Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ag Growth International Inc (AFN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was C$13.18. Our model-based fair value is C$2.65, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ag Growth International Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$10.60). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (C$2.65 to C$10.60). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Ag Growth International Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Ag Growth International Inc (AFN)?
The market capitalisation of Ag Growth International Inc is C$377M (≈ $267M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ag Growth International Inc (AFN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ag Growth International Inc is 0.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ag Growth International Inc (AFN)?
Earnings per share at Ag Growth International Inc are C$−2.86. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ag Growth International Inc (AFN)?
The dividend yield of Ag Growth International Inc is 4.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ag Growth International Inc (AFN)?
The net margin of Ag Growth International Inc is −1.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ag Growth International Inc (AFN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ag Growth International Inc is −17.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ag Growth International Inc (AFN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ag Growth International Inc is 8.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ag Growth International Inc (AFN)?
The operating margin of Ag Growth International Inc is −0.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ag Growth International Inc (AFN)?
Revenue at Ag Growth International Inc is growing −1.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ag Growth International Inc (AFN)?
Earnings per share at Ag Growth International Inc are growing −10.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ag Growth International Inc (AFN) generate?
The free cash flow of Ag Growth International Inc is −C$101M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ag Growth International Inc (AFN) carry?
The net debt of Ag Growth International Inc is C$956M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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