AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of AGI Infra Ltd ₹44.54, price ₹260, upside -82.9%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹6.39 – ₹419.00 · fair‑value band ₹33.40 – ₹70.30 · the ₹259.75 price screens above the ₹44.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Agi Infra Limited, together with its subsidiary, engages in the real estate and construction businesses in India. The company primarily constructs and develops commercial building and residential housing projects in Punjab.
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Agi Infra Limited, together with its subsidiary, engages in the real estate and construction businesses in India. The company primarily constructs and develops commercial building and residential housing projects in Punjab. It also operates cold storage facilities that provide storing, trading, dealing, and distribution of vegetables, fruits, dry fruits, etc., as well as leases or rents the cold chain facilities. The company was formerly known as G. I. Builders Private Limited and changed its name to AGI Infra Limited in June 2012. Agi Infra Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Jalandhar, India.
Stock analysis
AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL) currently trades at ₹259.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹44.54, 82.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹129.01 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the ₹259.75 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹24.91, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹33.40 (bear) to ₹70.30 (bull), the price of ₹259.75 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
AGI Infra Ltd reported revenue of ₹3.5B in FY2026 versus ₹2.0B in FY2022, a compound +15.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹949M in FY2026, compounding +27.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹32.5B (≈ $339M) · P/E ratio 31.3 · P/S ratio 8.42 · EPS (TTM) ₹8.30 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin 26.9% · Return on equity 24.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −83%, AGIIL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹33.40Fair Value ₹44.54Bull ₹70.30
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹4.18 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−12.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.26% → 29%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 575 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−82.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)24.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)28.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)39.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.27× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)31.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B6.99× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)9.09× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA22.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 70
FUTURE (revenue growth)27· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)97· sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)87· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)1· sector 57
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AGI Infra Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AGIIL
Frequently asked questions
Is AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹44.54 versus a price of ₹259.75, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AGIIL?
Our model-based fair value for AGI Infra Ltd is ₹44.54 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹259.75.
What is the quality score of AGIIL?
AGI Infra Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹44.54 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹33.40, optimistic scenario ₹70.30. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AGI Infra Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹44.54, about −83% upside versus a price of ₹259.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹33.40, optimistic scenario ₹70.30. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL)?
AGI Infra Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.6B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does AGI Infra Ltd pay a dividend?
AGI Infra Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.04% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AGI Infra Ltd it is ₹44.54 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of ₹259.75. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AGI Infra Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, AGIIL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹259.75, fair value ₹44.54, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AGIIL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹259.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹44.54). For AGI Infra Ltd the two are ₹215.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AGI Infra Ltd worth?
The market values AGI Infra Ltd at about ₹32.5B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is ₹259.75; our models calculate a fair value of ₹44.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AGIIL?
Our models span a range for AGI Infra Ltd: cautious scenario ₹33.40, base ₹44.54, optimistic ₹70.30 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price ₹259.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AGIIL?
AGI Infra Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.3 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹44.54 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 7.0, P/S 9.1, EV/EBITDA 22.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL)?
Balance-sheet figures for AGI Infra Ltd (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 24.3%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AGIIL from its 52-week high?
AGI Infra Ltd trades at ₹259.75, about 38% below its 52-week high of ₹419.00 and 11% above the low of ₹233.75 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹44.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AGI Infra Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AGI Infra Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price ₹259.75, calculated fair value ₹44.54 (−83%), Quality Score 35/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AGIIL calculated?
We run AGI Infra Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹44.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. AGI Infra Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹259.75. Our model-based fair value is ₹44.54, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AGI Infra Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹70.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (₹33.40 to ₹70.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of AGI Infra Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL)?
The market capitalisation of AGI Infra Ltd is ₹32.5B (≈ $339M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AGI Infra Ltd is 8.42 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL)?
Earnings per share at AGI Infra Ltd are ₹8.30 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL)?
The dividend yield of AGI Infra Ltd is 0.0% (payout 1.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL)?
The net margin of AGI Infra Ltd is 26.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AGI Infra Ltd is 24.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AGI Infra Ltd is 6.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL)?
The operating margin of AGI Infra Ltd is 39.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL)?
Revenue at AGI Infra Ltd is growing +5.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL)?
Earnings per share at AGI Infra Ltd are growing +34.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL) generate?
The free cash flow of AGI Infra Ltd is −₹520M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL) carry?
The net debt of AGI Infra Ltd is ₹962M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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