Agilyx ASA (AGLX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of Agilyx ASA NOK 9.26, price NOK 15.40, upside -39.9%, quality 14 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Agilyx ASA, together with its subsidiaries, provides plastic waste solutions in Europe, the United States, and the Asia pacific. The company operates through two segments, Agilyx and Cyclyx.
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Agilyx ASA, together with its subsidiaries, provides plastic waste solutions in Europe, the United States, and the Asia pacific. The company operates through two segments, Agilyx and Cyclyx. It offers Styrenyx, a recycling technology that uses catalyst-free depolymerization to recycle polystyrene waste back into its virgin-equivalent building blocks for reuse in new products; Cyclyx which supplies custom-formulated feedstock derived from plastic waste; Plastyx, a feedstock supplier; TruStyrenyx, a fully integrated chemical recycling solution for polystyrene waste; GreenDot, a recycling platform that provides an established infrastructure for plastic waste collection, sorting, and recycling; and arcLABS that provide a range of services, including characterization and identification of plastic streams that can be turned into feedstock sources matched to recycling processes. The company also licenses its patented conversion technology and sells its patented equipment to industry players. Agilyx ASA was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.
Stock analysis
Agilyx ASA (AGLX) currently trades at kr 15.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 9.26, 39.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: kr 6.90 (bear) to kr 13.80 (bull), the price of kr 15.40 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 14/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Agilyx ASA reported revenue of €1.2M in FY2025 versus €4.9M in FY2021, a compound −29.4%/yr. Reported net income was −€148M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.9B NOK (≈ $202M) · P/S ratio 22.6 · EPS (TTM) kr −11.27 · Net margin −132% · Return on equity −108% · Return on assets (EBIT) −31.0% · Operating margin −6.3% · Revenue growth (YoY) +238%.
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −40%, AGLX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 6.90Fair Value kr 9.26Bull kr 13.80
Price kr 15.40 · Upside -39.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−58.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−154.3% (2020) → −1,095.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 152 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score14 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−39.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−2.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−131.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−6.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth237.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity3.30× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
P/B9.00× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.36× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 40
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 81
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 48
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Agilyx ASA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AGLX
Frequently asked questions
Is Agilyx ASA (AGLX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 9.26 versus a price of kr 15.40, about −40% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AGLX?
Our model-based fair value for Agilyx ASA is kr 9.26 (as of Oct 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 15.40.
What is the quality score of AGLX?
Agilyx ASA has a Quality Score of 14/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Agilyx ASA (AGLX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 9.26 (as of Oct 11, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 6.90, optimistic scenario kr 13.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Agilyx ASA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 9.26, about −40% upside versus a price of kr 15.40 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 6.90, optimistic scenario kr 13.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Agilyx ASA (AGLX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Agilyx ASA it is kr 9.26 per share (as of Oct 11, 2026), against a price of kr 15.40. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Agilyx ASA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 11, 2026, AGLX trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 15.40, fair value kr 9.26, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AGLX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 15.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 9.26). For Agilyx ASA the two are kr 6.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Agilyx ASA worth?
The market values Agilyx ASA at about 1.9B NOK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 11, 2026). Per share that is kr 15.40; our models calculate a fair value of kr 9.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AGLX?
Our models span a range for Agilyx ASA: cautious scenario kr 6.90, base kr 9.26, optimistic kr 13.80 per share (as of Oct 11, 2026, price kr 15.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Agilyx ASA (AGLX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Agilyx ASA (as of Oct 11, 2026): return on equity −108.0%, debt of 3.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 14/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AGLX from its 52-week high?
Agilyx ASA trades at kr 15.40, about 40% below its 52-week high of kr 25.75 and 27% above the low of kr 12.08 (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 9.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Agilyx ASA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Agilyx ASA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 11, 2026: price kr 15.40, calculated fair value kr 9.26 (−40%), Quality Score 14/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AGLX calculated?
We run Agilyx ASA through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 9.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Agilyx ASA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Agilyx ASA (AGLX)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was kr 15.40. Our model-based fair value is kr 9.26, about −40% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Agilyx ASA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 13.80). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (14/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (kr 6.90 to kr 13.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Agilyx ASA
How large is the market capitalisation of Agilyx ASA (AGLX)?
The market capitalisation of Agilyx ASA is 1.9B NOK (≈ $202M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Agilyx ASA (AGLX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Agilyx ASA is 22.6 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Agilyx ASA (AGLX)?
Earnings per share at Agilyx ASA are kr −11.27. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Agilyx ASA (AGLX)?
The net margin of Agilyx ASA is −132% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Agilyx ASA (AGLX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Agilyx ASA is −108% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Agilyx ASA (AGLX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Agilyx ASA is −31.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Agilyx ASA (AGLX)?
The operating margin of Agilyx ASA is −6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Agilyx ASA (AGLX)?
Revenue at Agilyx ASA is growing +238% versus a year earlier (3y avg −58.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Agilyx ASA (AGLX) generate?
The free cash flow of Agilyx ASA is −8.4M NOK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Agilyx ASA (AGLX) carry?
The net debt of Agilyx ASA is 68.7M NOK (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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