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Agilysys Inc (AGYS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Agilysys Inc $35.26, price $101, upside -65.2%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · US · ISIN US00847J1051

AI Agilysys Inc logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Agilysys Inc

AGYS · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $35.26 · Strongly overvalued (−65%)
✓Quality 70/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +18.4 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 12.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Moderate moat 58/100
✓Insider activity 66/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$141.74 $32.41 Fair Value $35.26 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $32.41 – $141.74 · fair‑value band $27.31 – $43.20 · the $101.18 price screens above the $35.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Agilysys, Inc. operates as a developer and marketer of software-enabled solutions and services to the hospitality industry in North America, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and India.

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Agilysys, Inc. operates as a developer and marketer of software-enabled solutions and services to the hospitality industry in North America, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and India. The company offers software solutions fully integrated with third party hardware and operating systems; cloud applications, support, and maintenance; subscription and maintenance; and professional services.Its hospitality software solutions comprise hospitality experience cloud offers solution ecosystems that combine core operational systems for property management, point-of-sale (POS), and inventory and procurement; and Hospitality Solution Studios. The company also provides food and beverage ecosystem solutions, such as the InfoGenesis POS, IG Kiosk, a self-service, customer-facing kiosk point of sale solution; and IG KDS, a digital kitchen management solution. Its food and beverage experience enhancer solutions include IG OnDemand; IG Fly; IG Quick Pay payment solution; IG Smart Menu; IG Digital Menu Board; IG PanOptic; Pay; eCash; gift card solution; and Analyze. In addition, the company offers hospitality and leisure ecosystem solutions comprising LMS, an on-premises or hosted, web, and mobile-enabled PMS solution; Versa; and Stay, a cloud-native SaaS property management system. Its hospitality and leisure and experience enhancer solutions consist of Book, Express Kiosk and Express Mobile for check-in and check-out; Spa software; Golf; Sales and Catering; Service; Authorize; DataMagine; Reserve solution; Digital Marketing solution; Retail POS solution; Central Reservations; Loyalty and Promotions; Membership; Residence Management; and Guest App. Further, the company provides inventory and procurement ecosystem solutions, including the Eatec solution and Stratton Warren System. The company was formerly known as Pioneer-Standard Electronics, Inc. and changed its name to Agilysys, Inc. in 2003. Agilysys, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is headquartered in Alpharetta, Georgia.

Stock analysis

Agilysys Inc (AGYS) currently trades at $101.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $35.26, implying the stock looks roughly 186.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $36.87 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $101.18 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $7.15, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $27.31 (bear) to $43.20 (bull), the price of $101.18 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Agilysys Inc reported revenue of $319M in FY2026 versus $163M in FY2022, a compound +18.4%/yr. Reported net income was $38.8M in FY2026, compounding +56.4%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap $2.9B · P/E ratio 73.9 · P/S ratio 8.97 · EPS (TTM) $1.37 · Net margin 12.1% · Return on equity 13.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3% · Operating margin 15.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −65%, AGYS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $27.31 Fair Value $35.26 Bull $43.20
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.6644 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $28.72 $40.57 $57.32 81
Growth DCF $29.22 $39.91 $54.21 79
Owner Earnings $20.70 $28.81 $40.27 77
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $28.72 $40.57 $57.32 81
Owner Earnings $20.70 $28.81 $40.27 77
5Y Revenue Exit $20.41 $27.71 $36.61 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $25.93 $37.77 $51.14 76
5Y P/E Exit $28.76 $42.92 $57.33 71
10Y Revenue Exit $22.98 $30.14 $38.97 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $26.75 $36.87 $49.55 69
10Y P/E Exit $28.49 $40.31 $54.06 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $9.36 $25.42 $33.32 65
Lynch FV $5.00 $7.15 $9.29 61
PEG = 1.0 $5.00 $7.15 $9.29 57
EPV $13.15 $14.71 $16.05 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $28.92 $38.56 $48.20 63
P/S Multiple $17.56 $23.41 $29.27 58
P/B Multiple $17.56 $23.41 $29.27 55
EV/EBIT $28.96 $37.51 $46.06 66
EV/EBITDA $27.14 $35.08 $43.03 67
EV/Revenue $16.27 $21.83 $27.39 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.80 $7.77 $11.60 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $29.22 $39.91 $54.21 79
Rev-Margin DCF $20.41 $28.05 $36.66 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.54 $12.23 $22.62 73
ROIC Compounder $13.43 $15.80 $18.56 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $22.36 $31.94 $41.52 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.2% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+41.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+41.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−15% → 13%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+19.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+14.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.5% a year for the price and +11.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+15.2%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+16.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+14.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+12.8%
Projected 2031 (sales)+11.0%

AGYS screens 187% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (96 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 710 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.07× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 73.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B 8.80× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 9.00× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 42.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 63.9× · Priciest 25%
PEG 2.40× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)59 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)52 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €182.32 €159.06 −13%
Shopify Inc SHOP $147.74 $64.36 −56%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.89 $104.82 +50%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $233.28 $344.41 +48%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $137.00 $150.70 +10%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $302.95 $225.14 −26%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $336.59 $75.08 −78%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $247.48 $32.92 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $238.25 $454.04 +91%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $269.64 $177.51 −34%

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$35.26 −187%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Agilysys Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AGYS

Frequently asked questions

Is Agilysys Inc (AGYS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $35.26 versus a price of $101.18, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AGYS?
Our model-based fair value for Agilysys Inc is $35.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $101.18.
What is the quality score of AGYS?
Agilysys Inc has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Agilysys Inc (AGYS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $35.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $27.31, optimistic scenario $43.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Agilysys Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $35.26, about −65% upside versus a price of $101.18 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $27.31, optimistic scenario $43.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Agilysys Inc (AGYS)?
Agilysys Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $319M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Agilysys Inc (AGYS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Agilysys Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +19.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AGYS use?
Our models discount Agilysys Inc at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.36, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Agilysys Inc that is +19.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Agilysys Inc (AGYS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Agilysys Inc grew +18.4 % a year. The price currently implies +19.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Agilysys Inc (AGYS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Agilysys Inc (+19.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Agilysys Inc (AGYS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.37 %: that much free cash flow Agilysys Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Agilysys Inc (AGYS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Agilysys Inc it is $35.26 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $101.18. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Agilysys Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AGYS trades above its calculated fair value: price $101.18, fair value $35.26, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AGYS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($101.18); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($35.26). For Agilysys Inc the two are $65.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Agilysys Inc worth?
The market values Agilysys Inc at about $2.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $101.18; our models calculate a fair value of $35.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AGYS?
Our models span a range for Agilysys Inc: cautious scenario $27.31, base $35.26, optimistic $43.20 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $101.18). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AGYS?
Agilysys Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 73.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $35.26 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.4, P/B 8.8, P/S 9.0, EV/EBITDA 63.9.
What is the PEG ratio of AGYS?
The PEG ratio of Agilysys Inc is 2.40 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Agilysys Inc (AGYS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Agilysys Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 13.1%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AGYS from its 52-week high?
Agilysys Inc trades at $101.18, about 28% below its 52-week high of $141.12 and 63% above the low of $62.19 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $35.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Agilysys Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Agilysys Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $101.18, calculated fair value $35.26 (−65%), Quality Score 70/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AGYS calculated?
We run Agilysys Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $35.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Agilysys Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Agilysys Inc (AGYS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $101.18. Our model-based fair value is $35.26, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Agilysys Inc right now?
A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($43.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in.

Key figures of Agilysys Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Agilysys Inc (AGYS)?
The market capitalisation of Agilysys Inc is $2.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Agilysys Inc (AGYS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Agilysys Inc is 8.97 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Agilysys Inc (AGYS)?
Earnings per share at Agilysys Inc are $1.37 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 73.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Agilysys Inc (AGYS)?
The net margin of Agilysys Inc is 12.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Agilysys Inc (AGYS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Agilysys Inc is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Agilysys Inc (AGYS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Agilysys Inc is 5.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Agilysys Inc (AGYS)?
The operating margin of Agilysys Inc is 15.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Agilysys Inc (AGYS)?
Revenue at Agilysys Inc is growing +11.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Agilysys Inc (AGYS)?
Earnings per share at Agilysys Inc are growing +213% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Agilysys Inc (AGYS) hold?
Agilysys Inc holds more cash than debt, $97.9M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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