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AI Energy Public Company (AIE) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · TH · Market cap 1.6B THB

AE AI Energy Public Company AIE · BK
Price1.27 THB
Fair Value0.2700 THB
Upside-78.7%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.8% net margin
generates free cash flow
4.35% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: High Range 0.2000 THB – 0.3400 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +12.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.3400 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

8.65 THB 0.6805 THB Fair Value 0.2700 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.6805 THB – 8.65 THB · fair‑value band 0.2000 THB – 0.3400 THB · the 1.27 THB price screens above the 0.2700 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

AI Energy Public Company (AIE) currently trades at 1.27 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2700 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 78.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, AI Energy Public Company generated revenue of 7.9B THB at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue grew 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 223M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.2000 THB (bear case) to 0.3400 THB (bull case); at 1.27 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -79%, AIE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 0.9500 THB 0.8800 THB 0.5900 THB 76
Growth DCF 0.9900 THB 1.46 THB 2.12 THB 72
Gordon GGM 1.94 THB 3.50 THB 4.82 THB 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1.00 THB 1.52 THB 2.30 THB 38
Owner Earnings 0.6000 THB 0.8800 THB 1.29 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.5300 THB 0.6400 THB 0.7600 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.7400 THB 1.07 THB 1.46 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 0.5700 THB 0.7200 THB 0.8800 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.7100 THB 0.8600 THB 1.05 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.8400 THB 1.15 THB 1.58 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 0.7300 THB 0.9100 THB 1.14 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.1100 THB 0.4700 THB 0.6400 THB 54
Lynch FV 0.1200 THB 0.1700 THB 0.2200 THB 50
PEG = 1.0 0.1200 THB 0.1700 THB 0.2200 THB 46
EPV 0.2300 THB 0.2400 THB 0.2500 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.94 THB 3.50 THB 4.82 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1.94 THB 3.20 THB 3.74 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.1700 THB 0.2200 THB 0.2800 THB 63
P/S Multiple 0.2000 THB 0.2700 THB 0.3400 THB 58
P/B Multiple 0.2000 THB 0.2700 THB 0.3400 THB 55
EV/EBIT 0.2300 THB 0.2600 THB 0.2800 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 0.6300 THB 0.7900 THB 0.9500 THB 54
EV/Revenue 0.2500 THB 0.2900 THB 0.3300 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.7300 THB 0.9800 THB 1.46 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.9900 THB 1.46 THB 2.12 THB 72
Rev-Margin DCF 0.5300 THB 0.6500 THB 0.8100 THB 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.9500 THB 0.8800 THB 0.5900 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 0.2300 THB 0.2400 THB 0.2500 THB 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.1600 THB 0.2300 THB 0.3000 THB 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (3.20 THB) versus Earnings-Based (0.1700 THB). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.9B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.9%
Net margin 0.8%
Return on equity 2.8%
Free cash flow 112M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 23.4
More key figures
Operating margin 2.6%
EPS (TTM) 0.0500 THB
EPS growth (YoY) +372%
Net cash 223M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

AI Energy Public Company Limited produces and distributes biodiesel and vegetable oil products in Thailand. The company offers refined glycerin for applications in the pharmaceutical industry, cosmetics, and personal use products comprising soap and toothpaste, as well as for lubrication purposes.

Full company description

AI Energy Public Company Limited produces and distributes biodiesel and vegetable oil products in Thailand. The company offers refined glycerin for applications in the pharmaceutical industry, cosmetics, and personal use products comprising soap and toothpaste, as well as for lubrication purposes. It also provides edible palm oil products under the Pamola brand, and by-products, including palm fatty acid distillate, palm stearin, and acid oil. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Samut Sakhon, Thailand. AI Energy Public Company Limited is a subsidiary of Asian Insulators Public Company Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AI Energy Public Company reported revenue of 7.6B THB in FY2025 versus 6.4B THB in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was 21.9M THB in FY2025, compounding −52.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.6B THB
Latest YoY
−7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Revenue +4.4%/yr
FY21 6.4B THB
FY22 7.7B THB
FY23 8.2B THB
FY24 8.2B THB
FY25 7.6B THB
Net income −52.3%/yr
FY21 424M THB
FY22 −22.1M THB
FY23 40.3M THB
FY24 242M THB
FY25 21.9M THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) −4.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.8 pp

of which total revenue +6.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.8 pp

EBIT margin −9.7 pp
Tax rate +1.9 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

AIE screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AI Energy Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AIE

Peer Group

Farm Products · 288 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.4% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.80× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.20× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 25
FUTURE 80 · sector 20
PAST 11 · sector 17
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 87 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is AI Energy Public Company (AIE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.2700 THB versus a price of 1.27 THB, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AIE?
Our model-based fair value for AI Energy Public Company is 0.2700 THB (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1.27 THB.
What is the quality score of AIE?
AI Energy Public Company has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of AI Energy Public Company (AIE)?
AI Energy Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.9B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AIE?
The net profit margin of AI Energy Public Company is about 0.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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