Senmiao Technology Limited (AIHS) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $6.0M
Senmiao Technology Limited
AIHS · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +8.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 57% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The model range is unusually wide ($1.39 to $4.49). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.02 – $135.00 · fair‑value band $1.39 – $4.49 · the $1.55 price screens below the $2.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Senmiao Technology Limited (AIHS) currently trades at $1.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.43, implying the stock looks roughly 56.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $3.1M. Revenue declined 20.5% year over year. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.39 (bear case) to $4.49 (bull case); at $1.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 86% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at 57%, AIHS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Senmiao Technology Limited engages in the automobile transaction and related services business in the People's Republic of China. It also provides car rental services to individual customers; and auto finance solutions through financing leases.
Full company description
Senmiao Technology Limited engages in the automobile transaction and related services business in the People's Republic of China. It also provides car rental services to individual customers; and auto finance solutions through financing leases. In addition, the company engages in automobile sales comprising sale of new purchased or used cars; and the provision of supporting services. Further, the company offers new energy vehicles leasing, automobile purchase, and management services, such as ride-hailing driver training, and assisting with a series of administrative procedures, as well as credit assessment, installation of GPS devices, ride-hailing driver qualification, and other administrative procedures. Senmiao Technology Limited was founded in 2014 and is based in Chengdu, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Senmiao Technology Limited reported revenue of $3.4M in FY2025 versus $2.2M in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$3.7M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Rental & Leasing Services · 97 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Rental & Leasing Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Rentals, Inc URI | $1,045 | $449.86 | -57% |
| Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB | $73.41 | $65.76 | -10% |
| AerCap Holdings AER | $146.97 | $301.51 | +105% |
| U-Haul Holding UHAL | $67.35 | $7.21 | -89% |
| Ryder System, Inc R | $273.06 | $111.57 | -59% |
| Ayvens AYV | €11.57 | €24.73 | +114% |
| Localiza Rent a Car S.A RENT3 | R$40.35 | R$37.01 | -8% |
| Element Fleet Management Corp EFN | C$29.83 | C$15.06 | -50% |
| BOC Aviation Limited 2588 | HK$77.40 | HK$18.61 | -76% |
| GATX Corporation GATX | $178.48 | $140.90 | -21% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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