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Aimia Inc (AIMFF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Aimia Inc $3.86, price $1.83, upside +110.9%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Aimia Inc
AIMFF · USCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
✓Fair value $3.86 · Strongly undervalued (+110.9%)
!Quality 38/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +103.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $1.23 to $7.98
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.61 – $4.46 · fair‑value band $1.23 – $7.98 · the $1.83 price screens below the $3.86 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Aimia Inc. operates as a diversified conglomerate in Europe, Asia, Oceania, the Americas, Africa, and the Middle East. It operates in three segments: Bozzetto, Cortland International, and Holdings.
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Aimia Inc. operates as a diversified conglomerate in Europe, Asia, Oceania, the Americas, Africa, and the Middle East. It operates in three segments: Bozzetto, Cortland International, and Holdings. The company provides specialty chemicals, textiles, and water and dispersion chemical solutions in various applications, including textile, home and personal care, plasterboard, and agrochemical markets; designs, manufactures, and supplies synthetic fiber ropes, as well as offers netting solutions slings, and tethers for the fishing and aquaculture, industrial and safety, marine and shipping, and offshore energy, as well as other diversified industrial end markets. It also engages in the manufacture of auxiliary chemical solutions; and outdoor advertising activities. The company was formerly known as Groupe Aeroplan Inc. and changed its name to Aimia Inc. in October 2011. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Stock analysis
Aimia Inc (AIMFF) currently trades at $1.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.86, implying the stock looks roughly 52.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $3.04 per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the $1.83 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.67, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $1.23 (bear) to $7.98 (bull), the price of $1.83 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Aimia Inc reported revenue of C$503M in FY2025 versus C$12.6M in FY2021, a compound +151.4%/yr. Reported net income was −C$16.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $169M · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1200 · Net margin −3.2% · Return on equity −3.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.6% · Operating margin −3.9% · Revenue (TTM) C$504M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at 111%, AIMFF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.23
Fair Value $3.86
Bull $7.98
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings
n/a
$2.06
$6.13
71
Growth DCF
$0.8900
$3.09
$6.54
69
Gordon GGM
$0.1500
$0.2600
$0.3400
66
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
n/a
$2.06
$6.13
71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.1500
$0.2600
$0.3400
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.1500
$0.2500
$0.2800
65
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$1.24
$1.67
$2.49
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.8900
$3.09
$6.54
69
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.6600
$3.04
$8.04
60
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
38/100
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Profitability
17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
29
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
34
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+103.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −14.7% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.1%
’14
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’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−71.3% (2020) → 6.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+31.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CAD, Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +29.2% a year for the price.
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $474.65 | $441.72 | −7% |
| The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW | $330.44 | $151.68 | −54% |
| Ecolab Inc ECL | $274.58 | $96.56 | −65% |
| Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD | $279.19 | $121.30 | −57% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 238.00 TWD | 234.23 TWD | −2% |
| Givaudan SA GIVN | CHF 3,360 | CHF 1,527 | −55% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥69.45 | ¥68.03 | −2% |
| DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR | CHF 92.30 | CHF 29.70 | −68% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,444 | ₹1,479 | −39% |
| PPG Industries, Inc PPG | $104.67 | $76.98 | −26% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Aimia Inc (AIMFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.86 versus a price of $1.83, about +111% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AIMFF?
Our model-based fair value for Aimia Inc is $3.86 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.83.
What is the quality score of AIMFF?
Aimia Inc has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aimia Inc (AIMFF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.86 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.23, optimistic scenario $7.98. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aimia Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.86, about +111% upside versus a price of $1.83 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.23, optimistic scenario $7.98. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aimia Inc (AIMFF)?
Aimia Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$504M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aimia Inc (AIMFF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aimia Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +31.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +103.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AIMFF use?
Our models discount Aimia Inc at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.14, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aimia Inc that is +31.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aimia Inc (AIMFF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Aimia Inc grew +103.8 % a year. The price currently implies +31.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aimia Inc (AIMFF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aimia Inc (+31.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aimia Inc (AIMFF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.13 %: that much free cash flow Aimia Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aimia Inc (AIMFF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aimia Inc it is $3.86 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.83. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aimia Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AIMFF trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.83, fair value $3.86, a gap of about +111% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AIMFF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.83); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.86). For Aimia Inc the two are $2.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aimia Inc worth?
The market values Aimia Inc at about $169M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.83; our models calculate a fair value of $3.86 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AIMFF?
Our models span a range for Aimia Inc: cautious scenario $1.23, base $3.86, optimistic $7.98 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.83). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is AIMFF from its 52-week high?
Aimia Inc trades at $1.83, about 21% below its 52-week high of $2.33 and 2% above the low of $1.80 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.86 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aimia Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aimia Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.83, calculated fair value $3.86 (+111%), Quality Score 38/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AIMFF calculated?
We run Aimia Inc through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.86, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Aimia Inc currently trades 53 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aimia Inc (AIMFF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.83. Our model-based fair value is $3.86, about +111% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aimia Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide ($1.23 to $7.98). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Aimia Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Aimia Inc (AIMFF)?
The market capitalisation of Aimia Inc is $169M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aimia Inc (AIMFF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aimia Inc is 0.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aimia Inc (AIMFF)?
Earnings per share at Aimia Inc are $−0.1200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Aimia Inc (AIMFF)?
The net margin of Aimia Inc is −3.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aimia Inc (AIMFF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aimia Inc is −3.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aimia Inc (AIMFF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aimia Inc is 6.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aimia Inc (AIMFF)?
The operating margin of Aimia Inc is −3.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aimia Inc (AIMFF)?
Revenue at Aimia Inc is growing −18.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aimia Inc (AIMFF)?
Earnings per share at Aimia Inc are growing −95.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Aimia Inc (AIMFF) carry?
The net debt of Aimia Inc is C$193M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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