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reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of reAlpha Tech Corp stock $0.09, price $0.72, upside -87.5%, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Real Estate US

RT reAlpha Tech Corp logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

reAlpha Tech Corp

AIRE · US
Very expensive, in a downtrend

Our calculation puts a fair price 87% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 53/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +120.9 %/yr in USD)
Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
Revenue last quarter 11% below a year ago.
Fair value $0.0900 · Strongly overvalued (−87.5%)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 23/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$10,167 $0.7180 Fair Value $0.0900 Oct 2023 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

36‑month range $0.7180 – $10,167 · fair‑value band $0.0600 – $0.1200 · the $0.7180 price screens above the $0.0900 fair value. As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

reAlpha Tech Corp., a real estate technology company, develops an end-to-end homebuying platform. It operates through two segments, Homebuying Services and Technology Services.

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The Homebuying Services segment consists of realty services; digital title and escrow services; and residential real estate brokerage, mortgage brokerage, and related settlement services operations.

This segment includes Prevu and reAlpha Realty, which provide residential real estate brokerage services to buyers and sellers; reAlpha Mortgage and GTG Financial, which provide residential mortgage brokerage services, including loan origination support and facilitation of loan closings; and Hyperfast, which offers title and related real estate settlement services.

The Technology Services segment provides software development services; and the AI-powered conversational platform provided to customers by AiChat.

This segment includes reAlpha Nepal's Software Development Services, provides services related to the development of technology, AI and applications, as well as other technology support to the reAlpha platform and to third parties; and AiChat's Conversational Platform, enables businesses to automate and optimize customer service, marketing, and e-commerce processes through the integration of major messaging channels.

The company was formerly known as eAlpha Asset Management, Inc. and changed its name to reAlpha Tech Corp. in March 2023. reAlpha Tech Corp. was founded in 2020 and is based in Dublin, Ohio.

Stock analysis

reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE) currently trades at $0.7180, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0900, 87.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $0.0600 (bear) to $0.1200 (bull), the price of $0.7180 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

reAlpha Tech Corp reported revenue of $4.5M in FY2026 versus $305K in FY2022, a compound +96.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$17.6M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $4.3M Micro · P/S ratio 1.01 · EPS (TTM) $−3.40 · Return on equity −621% · Return on assets (EBIT) −51.2% · Operating margin −261% · Revenue (TTM) $4.3M · Revenue growth (YoY) −11.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 23 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 95% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −87%, AIRE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0600 Fair Value $0.0900 Bull $0.1200
Price $0.7180 · Upside -87.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $0.0600 $0.0900 $0.1200 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0600 $0.0900 $0.1200 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 5
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 3
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 95
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 98
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 0
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+376.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+120.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,581.3% (2022) → −349.4% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AIRE screens overvalued: fair value 87% below the price. Compare with CBRE Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 531 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside −87.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −81.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −11.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.35× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.01× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 17
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 65

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vonovia SE VNA €16.47 €36.52 +122% vs AIRE
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $333.34 $529.78 +59% vs AIRE
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$39.42 HK$55.33 +40% vs AIRE
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €25.55 €23.66 −7% vs AIRE
Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 HK$31.04 HK$27.21 −12% vs AIRE
CBRE Group CBRE $121.65 $89.81 −26% vs AIRE
KE Holdings BEKE $17.71 $7.34 −59% vs AIRE
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.39 SGD 0.7800 SGD −67% vs AIRE
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$25.14 HK$5.88 −77% vs AIRE
CoStar Group CSGP $28.14 $6.09 −78% vs AIRE

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reAlpha Tech Corp · Fair Value
$0.0900 −87%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "reAlpha Tech Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AIRE

Frequently asked questions

Is reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0900 versus a price of $0.7180, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AIRE?
Our model-based fair value for reAlpha Tech Corp is $0.0900 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.7180.
What is the quality score of AIRE?
reAlpha Tech Corp has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0900 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0600, optimistic scenario $0.1200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the reAlpha Tech Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0900, about −87% upside versus a price of $0.7180 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0600, optimistic scenario $0.1200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE)?
reAlpha Tech Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.3M (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For reAlpha Tech Corp it is $0.0900 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of $0.7180. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is reAlpha Tech Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, AIRE trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.7180, fair value $0.0900, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AIRE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.7180); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0900). For reAlpha Tech Corp the two are $0.6280 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is reAlpha Tech Corp worth?
The market values reAlpha Tech Corp at about $4.3M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is $0.7180; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AIRE?
Our models span a range for reAlpha Tech Corp: cautious scenario $0.0600, base $0.0900, optimistic $0.1200 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price $0.7180). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE)?
Balance-sheet figures for reAlpha Tech Corp (as of Oct 30, 2026): debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AIRE from its 52-week high?
reAlpha Tech Corp trades at $0.7180, about 95% below its 52-week high of $15.50 and at the low of $0.7180 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to reAlpha Tech Corp?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is reAlpha Tech Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price $0.7180, calculated fair value $0.0900 (−87%), Quality Score 53/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AIRE calculated?
We run reAlpha Tech Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. reAlpha Tech Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was $0.7180. Our model-based fair value is $0.0900, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with reAlpha Tech Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($0.0600 to $0.1200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of reAlpha Tech Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE)?
The market capitalisation of reAlpha Tech Corp is $4.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of reAlpha Tech Corp is 1.01 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE)?
Earnings per share at reAlpha Tech Corp are $−3.40. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of reAlpha Tech Corp is −621% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of reAlpha Tech Corp is −51.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE)?
The operating margin of reAlpha Tech Corp is −261% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE)?
Revenue at reAlpha Tech Corp is growing −11.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +121%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE) generate?
The free cash flow of reAlpha Tech Corp is −$11.3M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does reAlpha Tech Corp (AIRE) hold?
reAlpha Tech Corp holds more cash than debt, $7.4M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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