Airgain, Inc (AIRG) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $87.7M
Airgain, Inc
AIRG · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $6.70 to $2.30 (−65.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 58% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($1.35 to $3.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.68 – $23.63 · fair‑value band $1.35 – $3.03 · the $5.53 price screens above the $2.30 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Airgain, Inc (AIRG) currently trades at $5.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.30, implying the stock looks roughly 58.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Airgain, Inc generated revenue of $51.3M at a net margin of -13.2%. Revenue declined 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -23.2%. Net debt stands at $1.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.35 (bear case) to $3.03 (bull case); at $5.53, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -58%, AIRG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($1.88) versus Asset-Based ($1.50). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Airgain, Inc. provides wireless connectivity solutions that offer embedded components, external antennas, and integrated systems in North America, China, and internationally.
Full company description
Airgain, Inc. provides wireless connectivity solutions that offer embedded components, external antennas, and integrated systems in North America, China, and internationally. The company offers enterprise products, including smart network controlled cellular repeaters, embedded cellular modems, asset tracking solutions, and antennas for access points and Internet of Things (IoT) applications. It also provides automotive products, such as AirgainConnect Fleet system solution, a low-profile, roof-mounted, all-in-one 5G vehicle gateway that offers 4G/5G cellular connectivity with built-in multi-profile eSIM, GNSS, Wi-Fi, and gigabit ethernet router functionalities; AirgainConnect Cloud, a device management and analytics platform; and aftermarket antennas. In addition, the company offers consumer products comprising embedded antennas for consumer access points, wireless gateways, and fixed wireless access devices; and AirgainConnect Go-Kit Pro, a wireless solution. It serves public safety and first responders, transportation and logistics, energy and utilities, industrial and manufacturing, enterprise, hospitality and retail, venues, field services, and smart cities. The company was formerly known as AM Group and changed its name to Airgain, Inc. in 2004. Airgain, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Airgain, Inc reported revenue of $51.8M in FY2025 versus $64.3M in FY2021, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.4M in FY2025.
AIRG screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 286 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $119.25 | $43.05 | -64% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥1,094 | ¥171.09 | -84% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥56.50 | ¥28.65 | -49% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥482.88 | ¥155.05 | -68% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $11.25 | $2.67 | -76% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $413.31 | $190.43 | -54% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥244.13 | ¥32.04 | -87% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC | $11.72 | $15.96 | +36% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,090 TWD | 846.28 TWD | -60% |
| ZTE Corporation 000063 | ¥40.00 | ¥15.75 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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