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Aureka Ltd (AKA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Aureka Ltd stock A$0.10, price A$0.15, that is 33.0% below the price, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000369704

AL Aureka Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Aureka Ltd

AKA · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 33% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +42% vs. a year ago.
Fair value A$0.0971 · Overvalued
Quality 38/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −94.1 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 4/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$9.50 A$0.0180 Fair Value A$0.0971 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0180 – A$9.50 · fair‑value band A$0.0728 – A$0.1213 · the A$0.1450 price screens above the A$0.0971 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Aureka Limited engages in the mineral exploration business in Australia. It primarily produces gold, and silver deposits. The company's flagship project owned 100% interests in the Stawell Corridor gold project located in North-West of Melbourne, Victoria.

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The company was formerly known as Navarre Minerals Limited and changed its name to Aureka Limited in December 2024. Aureka Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.

Stock analysis

Aureka Ltd (AKA) currently trades at A$0.1450, while our estimate is A$0.0971, 33% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0728 (bear) to A$0.1213 (bull), the price of A$0.1450 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Aureka Ltd reported revenue of A$23.6K in FY2025 versus A$114M in FY2021, a compound −88.0%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.8M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$30.4M (≈ $20.9M) Micro · P/S ratio 24.5 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0400 · Return on equity −122% · Return on assets (EBIT) −45.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin 162,540% · Revenue growth (YoY) +41.6% · Free cash flow −A$6.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 4 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −33%, AKA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0728 Fair Value A$0.0971 Bull A$0.1213
Price A$0.1450 · Downside -33.0%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 12
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 70
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 32
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 70
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 40
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+345.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−94.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−10.4% (2021) → −20,259.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AKA screens overvalued: fair value 33% below the price. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 286 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Below median
Fair Value upside −33.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −102.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 41.6% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 7.59× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 23.64× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 5
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 80
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $190.46 $220.88 +16% vs AKA
Newmont Corporation NEM $119.96 $137.68 +15% vs AKA
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $274.57 $259.27 −6% vs AKA
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $93.85 $88.58 −6% vs AKA
Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 ¥27.00 ¥23.61 −13% vs AKA
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $21.53 $18.00 −16% vs AKA
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $255.79 $212.28 −17% vs AKA
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $136.62 $87.64 −36% vs AKA
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$26.73 A$16.87 −37% vs AKA
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.18 ¥15.62 −45% vs AKA

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Aureka Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aureka Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AKA.AU

Frequently asked questions

Is Aureka Ltd (AKA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.0971 versus a price of A$0.1450, about 33% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AKA?
Our estimate for Aureka Ltd is A$0.0971 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1450.
What is the quality score of AKA?
Aureka Ltd has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aureka Ltd (AKA)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.0971 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0728, optimistic scenario A$0.1213. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Aureka Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.0971, about 33% lower versus a price of A$0.1450 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0728, optimistic scenario A$0.1213. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Aureka Ltd (AKA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aureka Ltd it is A$0.0971 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.1450.
Is Aureka Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, AKA trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1450, fair value A$0.0971, a gap of about −33% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AKA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1450); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0971). For Aureka Ltd the two are A$0.0479 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aureka Ltd worth?
The market values Aureka Ltd at about A$30.4M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1450; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0971 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AKA?
Our models span a range for Aureka Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0728, base A$0.0971, optimistic A$0.1213 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.1450). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aureka Ltd (AKA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aureka Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −121.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AKA from its 52-week high?
Aureka Ltd trades at A$0.1450, about 22% below its 52-week high of A$0.1850 and 107% above the low of A$0.0700 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0971 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aureka Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aureka Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.1450, calculated fair value A$0.0971 (−33%), Quality Score 38/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Aureka Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aureka Ltd (AKA)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.1450. Our estimate is A$0.0971, about 33% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aureka Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1213). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Aureka Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Aureka Ltd (AKA)?
The market capitalisation of Aureka Ltd is A$30.4M (≈ $20.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aureka Ltd (AKA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aureka Ltd is 24.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aureka Ltd (AKA)?
Earnings per share at Aureka Ltd are A$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Aureka Ltd (AKA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aureka Ltd is −122% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aureka Ltd (AKA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aureka Ltd is −45.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aureka Ltd (AKA)?
The operating margin of Aureka Ltd is 162,540% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aureka Ltd (AKA)?
Revenue at Aureka Ltd is growing +41.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −94.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Aureka Ltd (AKA) generate?
The free cash flow of Aureka Ltd is −A$6.9M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Aureka Ltd (AKA) hold?
Aureka Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$1.8M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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