Akamai Technologies, Inc (AKAM) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $17.5B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +3.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 55% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($66.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $68.21 – $161.14 · fair‑value band $39.64 – $66.07 · the $118.55 price screens above the $52.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Akamai Technologies, Inc (AKAM) currently trades at $118.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $52.86, implying the stock looks roughly 55.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Akamai Technologies, Inc generated revenue of $4.3B at a net margin of 10.2%. Revenue grew 5.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. Net debt stands at $6.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $39.64 (bear case) to $66.07 (bull case); at $118.55, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -55%, AKAM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($140.22) versus Economic Profit ($14.68). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Akamai Technologies, Inc. engages in the provision of security, delivery, and cloud computing solutions in the United States and internationally.
Full company description
Akamai Technologies, Inc. engages in the provision of security, delivery, and cloud computing solutions in the United States and internationally. It offers security solutions that include web application and application programming interfaces (API) protection solutions, which protect web, API, and mobile app traffic from attacks; Bot & Abuse portfolio, which provides solutions to help customers protect against threats; full account lifecycle protections including the ability to defend against account takeover and opening abuse, adversarial bot protection, protection against credential stuffing, inventory scalping, and hoarding; and solutions designed to stop persistent scrapers from stealing content; API security, which discovers, audits, and monitors API; and microservice and application component protection that analyzes and protects application traffic that moves between application components. The company also offers cloud computing services, which include compute, storage, and cloud native and networking services; and Akamai App Platform, provides ready-to-run templates that address challenges in deploying, managing and scaling Kubernetes clusters at scale. In addition, it offers delivery solutions that include web and mobile performance solutions, which enables dynamic websites and applications, as well as global traffic management, site acceleration, application load balancing, large-scale load testing, and real-user monitoring; and media delivery solutions, including video streaming and video player services, game and software delivery, broadcast operations, authoritative domain name system, resolution, and data and analytics. Akamai Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Akamai Technologies, Inc reported revenue of $4.2B in FY2025 versus $3.5B in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was $452M in FY2025, compounding −8.7%/yr from FY2021.
AKAM screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Akamai, Atlassian, Cloudflare, JFrog, and More Stocks That Explain Today’s Market
- Akamai Technologies Inc (AKAM) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Cloud Infrastructure ...
- Akamai Technologies (AKAM) Debuts Workforce Protector For Enterprise AI Security
- Akamai anticipates low-teens revenue growth in 2027 backed by $2.8B CIS commitments
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 367 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Palantir Technologies Inc 1PLTR | €112.86 | €12.03 | -89% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €381.50 | €118.28 | -69% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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