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Akebono Brake Industry Co (AKBIF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $216M

AB Akebono Brake Industry Co logo Akebono Brake Industry Co AKBIF · US
Price$0.7240
Fair Value$0.6290
Upside-13.1%
Quality44/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.5015 – $0.9945 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 19 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Below-average quality, and screening another 13% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($0.5015 to $0.9945) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from $0.5015 (bear) to $0.9945 (bull), base $0.6290. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$2.12 $0.6680 Fair Value $0.6290 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.6680 – $2.12 · fair‑value band $0.5015 – $0.9945 · the $0.7240 price screens above the $0.6290 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Akebono Brake Industry Co (AKBIF) currently trades at $0.7240, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6290, implying the stock looks roughly 13.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Akebono Brake Industry Co generated revenue of $160B at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue declined 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at $17.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.5015 (bear case) to $0.9945 (bull case); at $0.7240, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -13%, AKBIF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder $0.5190 $0.6209 $0.7037 72
Growth-Adj P/E $0.5180 $0.7400 $0.9620 68
P/E Multiple $0.7349 $0.9798 $1.22 63
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.2744 $0.4316 $0.6845 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.2803 $0.7109 $1.34 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.8392 $1.68 $2.78 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.0210 $0.2631 $0.5504 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.2415 $0.5285 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.2980 $0.7514 $1.25 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.0050 $0.1336 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.3029 $0.3702 $0.4164 54
EPV $0.5190 $0.6209 $0.7037 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.7349 $0.9798 $1.22 63
P/S Multiple $0.5678 $0.7571 $0.9464 58
P/B Multiple $0.5678 $0.7571 $0.9464 55
EV/EBIT $1.48 $2.09 $2.69 53
EV/EBITDA $2.22 $3.07 $3.92 54
EV/Revenue $0.8922 $1.42 $1.94 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.6115 $0.8193 $1.22 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.8095 $0.7635 $0.5840 61
ROIC Compounder $0.5190 $0.6209 $0.7037 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.5180 $0.7400 $0.9620 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($0.9798) versus Earnings-Based ($0.3702). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $160B
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.5%
Net margin 1.2%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow $259M FY2026
Operating margin 2.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0500
EPS growth (YoY) -16.5%
Net debt $17.3B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 28
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Akebono Brake Industry Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells brakes for automobiles, industrial machinery and railway vehicles in Japan, North America, Europe, China, Thailand, and Indonesia.

Full company description

Akebono Brake Industry Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells brakes for automobiles, industrial machinery and railway vehicles in Japan, North America, Europe, China, Thailand, and Indonesia. The company offers disc brake calipers, disc brake pads, drum brake linings, drum brake shoes, wheel cylinders, drum-in-hat brakes, brake drums, sensors, master cylinders, brake linings, and clutch facings. Its products are used for automobiles, motorcycles, rolling stocks, and industrial machinery. The company was formerly known as Akebono Sekimen Kogyo Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Akebono Brake Industry Co., Ltd. in 1960. Akebono Brake Industry Co., Ltd. was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Akebono Brake Industry Co reported revenue of $161B in FY2026 versus $135B in FY2022, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was $1.9B in FY2026, compounding −18.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$161B
Latest YoY
−0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.9%
Revenue +4.4%/yr
FY22 $135B
FY23 $154B
FY24 $166B
FY25 $162B
FY26 $161B
Net income −18.2%/yr
FY22 $4.2B
FY23 $960M
FY24 $3.5B
FY25 $168M
FY26 $1.9B

AKBIF screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Akebono Brake Industry Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AKBIF

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 641 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −13% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.63× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 16 · sector 17
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 19 · sector 26
HEALTH 69 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

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Frequently asked questions

Is Akebono Brake Industry Co (AKBIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6290 versus a price of $0.7240, about −13% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AKBIF?
Our model-based fair value for Akebono Brake Industry Co is $0.6290 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.7240.
What is the quality score of AKBIF?
Akebono Brake Industry Co has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Akebono Brake Industry Co (AKBIF)?
Akebono Brake Industry Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $160B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AKBIF?
The net profit margin of Akebono Brake Industry Co is about 1.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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