Alarum Technologies Ltd (ALAR) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $66.8M
Alarum Technologies Ltd
ALAR · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $2.81 to $0.6800 (−75.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −25.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 65% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.6800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.53 – $45.96 · the $1.95 price screens above the $0.6800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Alarum Technologies Ltd (ALAR) currently trades at $1.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6800, implying the stock looks roughly 65.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Alarum Technologies Ltd generated revenue of $45.3M at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue grew 64.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $9.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -65%, ALAR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($1.56) versus Economic Profit ($0.4100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Alarum Technologies Ltd. provides web data collection solutions in North, South, and Central America, Europe, Southeast Asia, the Middle East, China, Hong Kong, Israel, the United Arab Emirates, and Africa.
Full company description
Alarum Technologies Ltd. provides web data collection solutions in North, South, and Central America, Europe, Southeast Asia, the Middle East, China, Hong Kong, Israel, the United Arab Emirates, and Africa. It provides static residential proxy network, rotating residential proxy network, data center proxy network, premium dedicated static residential proxies, mobile proxies, search engine results page data collection service, and social data collection service, as well as website unblocker and AI data collector services. In addition, the company offers its products through resellers, application publishers, and internet service providers. It serves advertising and media companies, financial organizations, cyber security companies, industrial and commercial companies, online companies, education institutions, AI recruitment markets, and other sectors. The company was formerly known as Safe-T Group Ltd. and changed its name to Alarum Technologies Ltd. in January 2023. Alarum Technologies Ltd. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alarum Technologies Ltd reported revenue of $40.8M in FY2025 versus $9.7M in FY2021, a compound +43.3%/yr. Reported net income was $963K in FY2025.
ALAR screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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