Alliance Developpement Capital SIIC (ADC SIIC) (ALDV) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · FR · Market cap €10.2M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from €0.0356 to €0.0487 (+36.7%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +5.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 39% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.0487). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.0333 – €0.1700 · the €0.0800 price screens above the €0.0487 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Alliance Developpement Capital SIIC (ADC SIIC) (ALDV) currently trades at €0.0800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.0487, implying the stock looks roughly 39.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
It earns a return on equity of -3.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €3.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -39%, ALDV screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€0.2300) versus Dividend Discount (€0.0100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Alliance Developpement Capital SIIC (ADC SIIC) is a publicly owned real estate investment firm. The firm specializes in owning and managing residential real estate properties. It primarily invests in properties in Paris and its suburbs. The firm was formerly known as AD Capital SA. Alliance Developpement Capital is based in Saint-Josse-Ten-Noode, Belgium.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alliance Developpement Capital SIIC (ADC SIIC) reported revenue of €1.1M in FY2025 versus €926K in FY2021, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.7M in FY2025.
ALDV screens 39% overvalued. Compare with AvalonBay Communities, Inc →
Peer Group
REIT - Residential · 56 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Residential median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Residential stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| AvalonBay Communities, Inc AVB | $190.80 | $126.12 | -34% |
| EQR EQR | $67.86 | $38.10 | -44% |
| Essex Property Trust, Inc ESS | $293.46 | $177.90 | -39% |
| Invitation Homes INVH | $29.78 | $16.82 | -44% |
| Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc MAA | $133.88 | $65.28 | -51% |
| Sun Communities, Inc SUI | $121.83 | $114.79 | -6% |
| UDR, Inc UDR | $39.59 | $19.76 | -50% |
| American Homes 4 Rent (AMH or the General Partner) AMH | $33.11 | $21.44 | -35% |
| Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc ELS | $66.05 | $21.27 | -68% |
| Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company CPT | $113.73 | $41.87 | -63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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