Alfa Laval AB (ALFA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 231B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from kr 371.69 to kr 372.32 (+0.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 35% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 525.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 222.76 to kr 525.35) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 218.81 – kr 588.80 · fair‑value band kr 222.76 – kr 525.35 · the kr 569.00 price screens above the kr 372.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Alfa Laval AB (ALFA) currently trades at kr 569.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 372.32, implying the stock looks roughly 34.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Alfa Laval AB generated revenue of 69.1B SEK at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue declined 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.3%. Net debt stands at 13.9B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 222.76 (bear case) to kr 525.35 (bull case); at kr 569.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -35%, ALFA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 373.01) versus Asset-Based (kr 70.37). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Alfa Laval AB (publ) provides heat transfer, separation, and fluid handling products and solutions worldwide. The company operates through three divisions: Energy, Food & Pharma, and Ocean.
Full company description
Alfa Laval AB (publ) provides heat transfer, separation, and fluid handling products and solutions worldwide. The company operates through three divisions: Energy, Food & Pharma, and Ocean. It offers ballast water management systems; oil/gas-fired steam and composite steam boilers, exhaust gas economizers, electric steam boilers, and exhaust gas steam boilers; and exhaust gas cleaning products, as well as decanters and separators. The company also provides sensing and control, cleaning validation, and condition monitoring automation products; hygienic fittings, hygienic tubes, ultrapure fittings, and ultrapure tubes; agitators, tank mixers, and powder mixers; and centrifugal pumps, circumferential piston pumps, rotary lobe pumps, twin screws, three screw pumps, gear pumps, and reciprocating pumps. In addition, it offers rotary jet heads, rotary spray heads, wall mounted cleaning devices for tank cleaning, and static spray balls; and tank covers and accessories, as well as valves. Further, the company provides plate heat exchangers, air cooled heat exchangers, scraped surface heat exchangers, and tubular heat exchangers. It serves energy and utilities, home and personal care, food, dairy and beverage, marine and transportation, pharma and biotech, and water and wastewater industries. Alfa Laval AB (publ) was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Lund, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alfa Laval AB reported revenue of kr 69.7B in FY2025 versus kr 40.9B in FY2021, a compound +14.2%/yr. Reported net income was kr 8.3B in FY2025, compounding +14.8%/yr from FY2021.
ALFA screens 35% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Alfa Laval Reaches Major Milestone with 100 Prodec Oil Plus Units Sold Across the U.S. Ethanol Industry
- Save the date for the Alfa Laval Capital Markets Day on 18 November 2026
- Alfa Laval AB (ALFVF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue and Robust Growth Across ...
- Alfa Laval AB (publ) Interim report 1 April - 30 June 2026
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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