Alamo Group (ALG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.0B

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

• The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
• Our model range runs from $134.35 (bear) to $223.92 (bull), base $179.14. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 61/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $107.05 – $230.70 · fair‑value band $134.35 – $223.92 · the $168.74 price screens below the $179.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Alamo Group (ALG) currently trades at $168.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $179.14, implying the stock looks roughly 6.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Alamo Group generated revenue of $1.6B at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue grew 6.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $89.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $134.35 (bear case) to $223.92 (bull case); at $168.74, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 6%, ALG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($211.31) versus Dividend Discount ($17.92). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Alamo Group Inc. manufactures and sells industrial and vegetation management equipment for governmental, industrial, and agricultural uses worldwide. It operates in two segments, Vegetation Management and Industrial Equipment.

Full company description

Alamo Group Inc. manufactures and sells industrial and vegetation management equipment for governmental, industrial, and agricultural uses worldwide. It operates in two segments, Vegetation Management and Industrial Equipment. The Vegetation Management segment offers tractor powered equipment such as rotary, finishing, flail, and disc mowers; rotary cutters; front end loaders, backhoes, tillers, posthole diggers, scraper blades, cultivators, subsoilers, and other tractor attachments and implements. This segment also provides commercial and residential zero turn mowers; hydraulic and mechanical boom and reach mowers; hedge and hedgerow cutters; industrial grass mowers; seedbed preparation equipment; and forestry and tree care tools, including chippers, stump grinders, mulchers, brush cutters, flails, and debarkers, as well as remote control mowers and related replacement parts. Its Industrial Equipment segment offers hydraulic telescoping booms; catch basin and roadway debris vacuum systems; sewer cleaners; vacuum trucks, combination sewer cleaners, hydro excavators, trenchers, and high pressure cleaning systems; truck mounted snow plows, blowers, dump bodies, spreaders, deicers, brine sprayers, snow throwers, and wing systems; salt spreaders; street sweepers, including mechanical broom and regenerative air models; leaf and debris collection equipment and replacement brooms; solid waste and recycling equipment; municipal tractors and attachments; asphalt patchers; underground construction forms; traffic control and crash attenuator trucks; industrial vacuum excavation units; trailer mounted and custom truck mounted systems; and related accessories and truck up fitting services. The company serves the infrastructure building and maintenance, industrial construction, public works, land maintenance, agriculture, and tree care markets. Alamo Group Inc. was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Seguin, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Alamo Group reported revenue of $1.6B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was $104M in FY2025, compounding +6.6%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.