Groupe Guillin S.A (ALGIL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · FR · Market cap €399M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from €36.73 to €36.76 (+0.1%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price −4.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 70% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€26.79). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (€26.79 to €52.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €14.53 – €29.85 · fair‑value band €26.79 – €52.42 · the €21.60 price screens below the €36.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Groupe Guillin S.A (ALGIL) currently trades at €21.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €36.76, implying the stock looks roughly 70.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Groupe Guillin S.A generated revenue of €886M at a net margin of 5.5%. Revenue grew 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. Net debt stands at €61.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €26.79 (bear case) to €52.42 (bull case); at €21.60, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 70%, ALGIL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€44.41) versus Dividend Discount (€11.53). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Groupe Guillin S.A. produces and sells food packaging products in France, the United Kingdom, Italy, and internationally.
Full company description
Groupe Guillin S.A. produces and sells food packaging products in France, the United Kingdom, Italy, and internationally. The company offers bags, lace, scalloped and gold holders, liners, trays, sealable trays, round containers with separate and attached lids, boxes with separate and attached lids, baking paper, cardboard moulds, and trays without covers; cups, glasses, flutes, mugs, covers, plates, presentation plates, and meal trays; dessert bowls, tableware, and accessories; cellular packaging, PP and rPET trays, cardboard trays, packaging for small fruits, and baskets, as well as rPET lids for soft fruit and grapes; presentation plates; baking paper and paper moulds; trays for sealing and film wrapping; and pockets, inserts, shakers, and baskets. It also sells food preparation equipment, including sealer packing machines, vacuum and gas sealers, and in-line sealers, as well as peripherals and labelling equipment; and meal distribution equipment comprising isothermal transportation, breakfast carts, plated meal distribution, and multi-portion meal distribution. The company serves supermarkets, hypermarkets, commercial and industrial catering, retail, fruits and vegetables, and food industries. Groupe Guillin S.A. was founded in 1972 and is based in Ornans, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Groupe Guillin S.A reported revenue of €885M in FY2025 versus €741M in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was €48.3M in FY2025, compounding −4.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥29.10 | ¥20.88 | -28% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 29.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -44% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 2,850 TWD | 661.69 TWD | -77% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,194 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 132.50 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -4% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹206.82 | ₹161.42 | -22% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹222.25 | ₹111.65 | -50% |
| Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 | 15.15 TWD | 23.17 TWD | +53% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 19,330 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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