Hipay Group SA (ALHYP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Hipay Group SA €8.09, price €4.60, upside +75.9%, quality 23 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €3.07 – €23.29 · fair‑value band €5.41 – €10.52 · the €4.60 price screens below the €8.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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HiPay Group SA provides augmented payment solutions in France and rest of Europe. The company offers online payments, unified commerce, and marketplace payments solutions; retail, iGaming, and SaaS and digital products solutions; payment management, payments methods, fraud management, conversion optimization, and data insights solutions.
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HiPay Group SA provides augmented payment solutions in France and rest of Europe. The company offers online payments, unified commerce, and marketplace payments solutions; retail, iGaming, and SaaS and digital products solutions; payment management, payments methods, fraud management, conversion optimization, and data insights solutions. The company serves pure players, marketplaces, and franchisees, as well as provides its solutions for brands with an online presence and a network of stores. HiPay Group SA was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Levallois-Perret, France.
Stock analysis
Hipay Group SA (ALHYP) currently trades at €4.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €8.09, implying the stock looks roughly 43.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €16.31 per share, and 14 of the 15 models we run sit above the €4.60 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €4.60, and 1 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €5.41 (bear) to €10.52 (bull), the price of €4.60 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Hipay Group SA reported revenue of €74.8M in FY2025 versus €53.9M in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was €5.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €33.9M · P/E ratio 4.9 · P/S ratio 0.39 · EPS (TTM) €0.9300 · Net margin 7.9% · Return on equity 16.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6% · Operating margin 9.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 76%, ALHYP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €5.41Fair Value €8.09Bull €10.52
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.6828 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.2% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+28.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+28.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 5%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.2%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 383 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+78% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)16% · Above median
Return on assets1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.35× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)4.9× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.89× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hipay Group SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALHYP
Frequently asked questions
Is Hipay Group SA (ALHYP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €8.09 versus a price of €4.60, about +76% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ALHYP?
Our model-based fair value for Hipay Group SA is €8.09 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €4.60.
What is the quality score of ALHYP?
Hipay Group SA has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hipay Group SA (ALHYP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €8.09 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario €5.41, optimistic scenario €10.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hipay Group SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €8.09, about +76% upside versus a price of €4.60 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €5.41, optimistic scenario €10.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hipay Group SA (ALHYP)?
Hipay Group SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €74.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hipay Group SA (ALHYP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hipay Group SA it is €8.09 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €4.60. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hipay Group SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ALHYP trades below its calculated fair value: price €4.60, fair value €8.09, a gap of about +76% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALHYP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€4.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€8.09). For Hipay Group SA the two are €3.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hipay Group SA worth?
The market values Hipay Group SA at about €33.9M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €4.60; our models calculate a fair value of €8.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALHYP?
Our models span a range for Hipay Group SA: cautious scenario €5.41, base €8.09, optimistic €10.52 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €4.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ALHYP?
Hipay Group SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €8.09 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 7.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hipay Group SA (ALHYP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hipay Group SA (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 16.0%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALHYP from its 52-week high?
Hipay Group SA trades at €4.60, about 54% below its 52-week high of €9.90 and 1% above the low of €4.55 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €8.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hipay Group SA?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hipay Group SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €4.60, calculated fair value €8.09 (+76%), Quality Score 23/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALHYP calculated?
We run Hipay Group SA through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €8.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Hipay Group SA currently trades 76 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hipay Group SA (ALHYP)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €4.60. Our model-based fair value is €8.09, about +76% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hipay Group SA right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (23/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (€5.41). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (€5.41 to €10.52) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Hipay Group SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Hipay Group SA (ALHYP)?
The market capitalisation of Hipay Group SA is €33.9M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hipay Group SA (ALHYP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hipay Group SA is 0.39 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hipay Group SA (ALHYP)?
Earnings per share at Hipay Group SA are €0.9300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hipay Group SA (ALHYP)?
The net margin of Hipay Group SA is 7.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hipay Group SA (ALHYP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hipay Group SA is 16.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hipay Group SA (ALHYP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hipay Group SA is 0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hipay Group SA (ALHYP)?
The operating margin of Hipay Group SA is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hipay Group SA (ALHYP)?
Revenue at Hipay Group SA is growing −2.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hipay Group SA (ALHYP)?
Earnings per share at Hipay Group SA are growing +431% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hipay Group SA (ALHYP) generate?
The free cash flow of Hipay Group SA is −€283K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hipay Group SA (ALHYP) carry?
The net debt of Hipay Group SA is €15.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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