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Alleima AB (ALLEI) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · SE · Market cap 24.8B SEK

AA Alleima AB ALLEI · ST
Pricekr 117.40
Fair Valuekr 61.11
Upside-48.0%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.54% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range kr 45.83 – kr 76.38 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from kr 45.60 to kr 61.11 (+34.0%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +24.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 76.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

kr 120.50 kr 30.93 Fair Value kr 61.11 Aug 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

47‑month range kr 30.93 – kr 120.50 · fair‑value band kr 45.83 – kr 76.38 · the kr 117.40 price screens above the kr 61.11 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Alleima AB (ALLEI) currently trades at kr 117.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 61.11, implying the stock looks roughly 48.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Alleima AB generated revenue of 18.1B SEK at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue declined 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 831M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 45.83 (bear case) to kr 76.38 (bull case); at kr 117.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -48%, ALLEI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 39.24 kr 51.48 kr 73.21 80
Residual Income kr 49.29 kr 48.87 kr 44.17 76
Rev-Margin DCF kr 36.42 kr 52.02 kr 71.45 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 37.76 kr 50.31 kr 74.55 38
Owner Earnings kr 24.82 kr 32.57 kr 47.54 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 36.42 kr 51.24 kr 73.17 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 48.02 kr 71.11 kr 102.22 41
5Y P/E Exit kr 34.98 kr 48.77 kr 65.58 38
10Y Revenue Exit kr 35.75 kr 47.73 kr 60.93 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 43.75 kr 60.40 kr 78.79 37
10Y P/E Exit kr 35.79 kr 46.15 kr 56.27 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 18.24 kr 25.86 kr 30.30 54
EPV kr 28.49 kr 32.59 kr 36.18 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 34.20 kr 45.60 kr 57.00 63
P/S Multiple kr 34.20 kr 45.60 kr 57.00 58
P/B Multiple kr 34.20 kr 45.60 kr 57.00 55
EV/EBIT kr 43.65 kr 56.90 kr 70.15 53
EV/EBITDA kr 62.63 kr 82.21 kr 101.79 54
EV/Revenue kr 38.35 kr 53.11 kr 67.87 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 33.01 kr 44.24 kr 66.02 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 39.24 kr 51.48 kr 73.21 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 36.42 kr 52.02 kr 71.45 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 49.29 kr 48.87 kr 44.17 76
ROIC Compounder kr 28.49 kr 32.59 kr 36.18 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 24.36 kr 34.81 kr 45.25 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (kr 51.48) versus Earnings-Based (kr 25.86). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 18.1B SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.1%
Net margin 3.1%
Return on equity 3.4%
Free cash flow 858M SEK FY2025
P/E ratio 43.7
More key figures
Operating margin 8.6%
EPS (TTM) kr 2.27
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -26.3%
Net cash 831M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 97
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Alleima AB (publ) manufactures and sells stainless steels, special alloys, medical wires and components, and electric heating systems in Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It operates through three divisions: Tube, Kanthal, and Strip.

Full company description

Alleima AB (publ) manufactures and sells stainless steels, special alloys, medical wires and components, and electric heating systems in Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It operates through three divisions: Tube, Kanthal, and Strip. The company offers tubes for extraction and production of oil and gas, advanced stainless steel, umbilical tubes, control lines, corrosion-resistant alloys, and oil country tubular goods; solid and hollow bar, high-pressure and composite tubing, semi-finished ingots and blooms, and billets; hydraulic and instrumentation tubing, heat exchangers tubing, process piping, high-temperature applications, and high-pressure equipment for chemical and petrochemical processes; metallic and ceramic heating elements, and diffusion cassettes; and lithium-ion batteries, ceramics and steels, and various electronic appliances. It also provides stainless steel for razor blades, knives, cutting tools, compressor valve steel, and heating material; ultra fine wire and wire based components for glucose monitors, pacemakers, neurostimulation, precision strip steel, and small diameter tubing; stainless steel and titan tubes for use in aircraft hydraulic systems and jet engines, as well as gasoline direct injection tubes for cars and trucks; drill steel for hydraulic rock drilling rigs in mines and infrastructure construction works; steam generator tubing; cladding tubes; nuclear tubes and pipes; and tubes for hydrogen applications, concentrated solar power, geothermal energy, bioenergy and biofuels, offshore wind, carbon capture and storage, and coated strip steel for fuel cells and electrolyzers. The company serves oil and gas, industrial, chemical and petrochemical, industrial heating, medical, transportation, mining and construction, nuclear, and hydrogen and renewable energy industries. The company was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Sandviken, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Alleima AB reported revenue of kr 18.6B in FY2025 versus kr 13.8B in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was kr 671M in FY2025, compounding −13.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
18.6B SEK
Latest YoY
−5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+2.9%
Revenue +7.7%/yr
FY21 kr 13.8B
FY22 kr 18.4B
FY23 kr 20.7B
FY24 kr 19.7B
FY25 kr 18.6B
Net income −13.6%/yr
FY21 kr 1.2B
FY22 kr 1.5B
FY23 kr 1.6B
FY24 kr 1.2B
FY25 kr 671M

ALLEI screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Tata Steel Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alleima AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALLEI

Peer Group

Steel · 378 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −48% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth -11% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 43.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.50× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.37× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 3.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 20
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 14 · sector 15
HEALTH 97 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 51 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alleima AB (ALLEI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 61.11 versus a price of kr 117.40, about −48% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALLEI?
Our model-based fair value for Alleima AB is kr 61.11 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 117.40.
What is the quality score of ALLEI?
Alleima AB has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Alleima AB (ALLEI)?
Alleima AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.1B SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALLEI?
The net profit margin of Alleima AB is about 3.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Alleima AB pay a dividend?
Alleima AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.83% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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