Alumindo Light Metal Industry (ALMI) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · ID · Market cap 282B IDR
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 24, 2026, revised from 0.0100 IDR to 22.15 IDR (+221,400.0%) since Jul 14, 2026.
Below-average quality, and screening another 70% overvalued on our models.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (27.68 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 52.00 IDR – 450.00 IDR · fair‑value band 16.61 IDR – 27.68 IDR · the 74.00 IDR price screens above the 22.15 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
Analysis
Alumindo Light Metal Industry (ALMI) currently trades at 74.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 22.15 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 70.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 36 IDR. It earns a return on equity of -50.9%. Net debt stands at 21.1M IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 16.61 IDR (bear case) to 27.68 IDR (bull case); at 74.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -70%, ALMI screens richer than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk manufactures and sells flat rolled aluminum products in Indonesia and internationally.
Full company description
PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk manufactures and sells flat rolled aluminum products in Indonesia and internationally. The company offers aluminium sheets and coils for ceiling, decorative lighting, curtain walls, venetian blinds, and roofing applications in buildings and constructions industry; use in buses or trucks bodies, license plates, and road signs, as well as various automotive parts comprising heat exchanger/radiator units in transportation industry; and the electrical appliances, such as lamp fitting, covers, and reflectors. It also provides aluminium circles for use in cooking utensils, such as pots and pans; embossed aluminum products primarily for use in roofing, siding, and surface decorations; and aluminum foils for packaging, material wrapping, household foil, heat exchanger fin-stocks, cigarette packaging, pharmaceutical, food packaging, roofing insulation, condensor and fin-stocks as in heat exchanger unit, AirCargoContainer, as well as construction industry, including insulation. PT Alumindo Light Metal Industry Tbk was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Surabaya, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alumindo Light Metal Industry reported revenue of 76.8K IDR in FY2025 versus 102M IDR in FY2021, a compound −83.5%/yr. Reported net income was −2.5M IDR in FY2025.
ALMI screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding →
Peer Group
Aluminum · 82 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 | ¥21.34 | ¥23.44 | +10% |
| China Hongqiao Group 1378 | HK$24.44 | HK$45.58 | +86% |
| Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO | ₹1,028 | ₹997.35 | -3% |
| Aluminum Corporation 601600 | ¥9.45 | ¥16.30 | +72% |
| Norsk Hydro ASA NHY | kr 90.02 | kr 58.10 | -35% |
| Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 | 7.90 MYR | 3.88 MYR | -51% |
| Alcoa Corporation AAI | A$73.19 | A$49.53 | -32% |
| Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 | ¥25.88 | ¥29.68 | +15% |
| Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 | ¥27.24 | ¥30.28 | +11% |
| Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 | ¥12.67 | ¥21.86 | +73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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