Aeluma, Inc (ALMU) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $486M

Analysis

Aeluma, Inc (ALMU) currently trades at $21.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.93 — implying the stock looks roughly 86.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Aeluma, Inc. develops optoelectronic and electronic devices for sensing, communication, and computing applications in the United States. The company produces semiconductor materials and chips using compound semiconductors on diameter substrates that are used to manufacture mass market microelectronics. Its products are used in mobile, automotive, AI, defense and aerospace, communication, AR/VR, high-performance commuting, and quantum computing applications, as well as other electronic and optoelectronic devices, including lasers, transistors, and solar cells. Aeluma, Inc. was founded in 2019 and is headquartered in Goleta, California.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.