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Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Racing Force S.p.A. €2.38, price €5.04, upside -52.8%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · FR

RF Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Racing Force S.p.A.

ALRFG · PA

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value €2.38 · Strongly overvalued (−52.8%)
!Quality 44/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +16.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/13)
!Narrow moat 40/100
!Weak on valuation: 3 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€5.76 €3.43 Fair Value €2.38 Sep 2022 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

48‑month range €3.43 – €5.76 · fair‑value band €1.34 – €3.99 · the €5.04 price screens above the €2.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Racing Force S.P.A. engages in the production of safety equipment for the racing and motorsport industry in the Americas, Asia, Oceania, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.

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Racing Force S.P.A. engages in the production of safety equipment for the racing and motorsport industry in the Americas, Asia, Oceania, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It offers racewear, car parts, and accessories under the OMP brand; helmets for various forms of car racing under the Bell Racing Helmets brand; communication technology for the sports industry under the Zeronoise brand; motorsport clothing and accessories under the Racing Spirit brand; head protection solutions under the High Protection Systems brand. The company also provides safety components, including fireproof and anti-abrasive suits, helmets, intercoms, gloves, shoes, and others, as well as safety components for racing cars, such as seats, seat belts, steering wheels, roll bars, fire extinguishers and other car components. It sells its products to dealers, distributors, teams, car manufacturers, and individuals under OMP, Bell Helmets, Zeronoise, Racing Spirit, B2 Helmets, and Sports Mini Line brands. The company was founded in 1973 and is based in Ronco Scrivia, Italy. Racing Force S.P.A. operates as a subsidiary of SAYE s.p.a.

Stock analysis

Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG) currently trades at €5.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.38, 52.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €3.85 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the €5.04 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at €0.3800, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €1.34 (bear) to €3.99 (bull), the price of €5.04 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Racing Force S.p.A. reported revenue of €73.1M in FY2025 versus €46.7M in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was €5.4M in FY2025, compounding +6.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €138M · P/E ratio 25.2 · P/S ratio 1.87 · EPS (TTM) €0.2000 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 7.4% · Return on equity 8.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 39% fair-value upside, at −53%, ALRFG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €1.34 Fair Value €2.38 Bull €3.99
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.1512 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €0.2300 €0.4100 €0.6600 78
Growth DCF €0.2300 €0.3800 €0.5800 77
Residual Income €1.74 €1.82 €2.00 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.2300 €0.4100 €0.6600 78
5Y Revenue Exit €1.12 €2.26 €3.85 70
5Y EBITDA Exit €1.79 €3.65 €6.03 72
5Y P/E Exit €1.81 €3.68 €5.86 68
10Y Revenue Exit €0.6800 €1.53 €2.90 63
10Y EBITDA Exit €1.11 €2.41 €4.46 65
10Y P/E Exit €1.12 €2.43 €4.33 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €1.34 €6.25 €8.59 64
Lynch FV €1.65 €2.36 €3.06 61
PEG = 1.0 €1.65 €2.36 €3.06 57
EPV €1.11 €1.25 €1.37 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.6200 €1.04 €1.35 68
DDM Multi-Stage €0.6200 €0.9900 €1.12 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €3.26 €4.35 €5.43 63
P/S Multiple €2.39 €3.19 €3.99 58
P/B Multiple €2.52 €3.36 €4.20 55
EV/EBIT €2.67 €3.58 €4.49 66
EV/EBITDA €3.17 €4.25 €5.33 67
EV/Revenue €1.78 €2.57 €3.36 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.13 €1.52 €2.27 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.2300 €0.3800 €0.5800 77
Economic Profit
Residual Income €1.74 €1.82 €2.00 76
ROIC Compounder €1.11 €1.25 €1.37 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €2.69 €3.85 €5.00 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 21
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 51
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 55
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+13.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 8%

ALRFG screens overvalued: fair value 53% below the price. Compare with Pop Mart International Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 172 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −23.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8.8% · Above median
Return on assets 4.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7.4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 20.4% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.22× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.89× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)3 · sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 26
PAST (return on equity)35 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)36 · sector 58

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Li Ning Company 2331 HK$12.24 HK$29.18 +138%
Mattel, Inc MAT $13.29 $21.66 +63%
Fluidra, S.A FDR €17.68 €19.68 +11%

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Racing Force S.p.A. · Fair Value
€2.38 −53%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Racing Force S.p.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALRFG

Frequently asked questions

Is Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.38 versus a price of €5.04, about −53% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALRFG?
Our model-based fair value for Racing Force S.p.A. is €2.38 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €5.04.
What is the quality score of ALRFG?
Racing Force S.p.A. has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €2.38 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.34, optimistic scenario €3.99. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Racing Force S.p.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €2.38, about −53% upside versus a price of €5.04 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €1.34, optimistic scenario €3.99. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG)?
Racing Force S.p.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €73.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Racing Force S.p.A. pay a dividend?
Racing Force S.p.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.80% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Racing Force S.p.A. it is €2.38 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €5.04. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Racing Force S.p.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ALRFG trades above its calculated fair value: price €5.04, fair value €2.38, a gap of about −53% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALRFG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€5.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€2.38). For Racing Force S.p.A. the two are €2.66 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Racing Force S.p.A. worth?
The market values Racing Force S.p.A. at about €138M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €5.04; our models calculate a fair value of €2.38 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALRFG?
Our models span a range for Racing Force S.p.A.: cautious scenario €1.34, base €2.38, optimistic €3.99 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €5.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ALRFG?
Racing Force S.p.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €2.38 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 14.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Racing Force S.p.A. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.8%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALRFG from its 52-week high?
Racing Force S.p.A. trades at €5.04, about 8% below its 52-week high of €5.50 and 17% above the low of €4.31 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €2.38 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Racing Force S.p.A.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Pop Mart International Group, ANTA Sports Products Limited, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Racing Force S.p.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €5.04, calculated fair value €2.38 (−53%), Quality Score 44/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALRFG calculated?
We run Racing Force S.p.A. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €2.38, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Racing Force S.p.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €5.04. Our model-based fair value is €2.38, about −53% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Racing Force S.p.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€3.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (€1.34 to €3.99). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of Racing Force S.p.A.

How large is the market capitalisation of Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG)?
The market capitalisation of Racing Force S.p.A. is €138M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Racing Force S.p.A. is 1.87 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG)?
Earnings per share at Racing Force S.p.A. are €0.2000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG)?
The dividend yield of Racing Force S.p.A. is 1.8% (payout 45.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG)?
The net margin of Racing Force S.p.A. is 7.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Racing Force S.p.A. is 8.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Racing Force S.p.A. is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG)?
The operating margin of Racing Force S.p.A. is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG)?
Revenue at Racing Force S.p.A. is growing +20.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG)?
Earnings per share at Racing Force S.p.A. are growing +193% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG) generate?
The free cash flow of Racing Force S.p.A. is €51.5K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Racing Force S.p.A. (ALRFG) carry?
The net debt of Racing Force S.p.A. is €16.6M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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