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Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Alta Equipment Group Inc stock $17.79, price $5.93, upside +200.0%, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US

AE Alta Equipment Group Inc logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Alta Equipment Group Inc

ALTG · US
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 67% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $17.79 · Strongly undervalued
Generates free cash flow over the last twelve months
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 28% above the price ($7.58).
Quality 42/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +16.0 %/yr in USD)
Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Loss-making · -4.4% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 17/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$17.70 $3.91 Fair Value $17.79 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.91 – $17.70 · fair‑value band $7.58 – $28.00 · the $5.93 price screens below the $17.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Alta Equipment Group Inc. owns and operates integrated equipment dealership platforms in the United States and Canada. It operates through three segments: Material Handling, Construction Equipment, and Master Distribution.

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The company sells, rents, and provides parts and service support for various categories of specialized equipment, including lift trucks and other material handling equipment, heavy and compact earthmoving equipment, crushing and screening equipment, environmental processing equipment, cranes and aerial work platforms, paving and asphalt equipment, and other construction equipment and related products.

It also sells new and used equipment; and sells and distributes replacement parts.

In addition, the company offers repair and maintenance services for its equipment; designs and builds services related to automated equipment installation and warehouse management systems integration solutions; and sell new heavy construction, material handling, and environmental processing equipment, as well as tangential products and services.

Further, it rents heavy construction, compact, aerial, material handling, and various other types of equipment; and sells rental equipment from its rental fleet; and offers maintenance and repair services.

It serves food and beverage, diversified manufacturing, automotive, municipal/government, education, pharmaceutical and medical, wholesale and retail distribution, construction, agriculture and forestry, road building, aggregate and mining, utilities and power generation, and recycling and waste management, and other sectors.

Alta Equipment Group Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Livonia, Michigan.

Stock analysis

Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG) currently trades at $5.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.79, implying the stock looks roughly 67% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $7.58 (bear) to $28.00 (bull), the price of $5.93 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Alta Equipment Group Inc reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$80.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $221M Micro · P/S ratio 0.12 · EPS (TTM) $−2.57 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin −4.4% · Return on equity −2,086% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 2.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 17 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 200%, ALTG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $7.58 Fair Value $17.79 Bull $28.00
Price $5.93 · Upside +200.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings n/a n/a $9.29 73
EV/EBITDA $11.59 $27.19 $42.79 63
All 2 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings n/a n/a $9.29 73
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $11.59 $27.19 $42.79 63

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 41
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 11
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 7
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 97
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 2
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 27
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 37
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 81
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

  • BuyMill Road Capital III, L.P.10% owner2× since Mar 11, 2026: 80,000 shares, avg. $6.15$492,121Mar 13, 2026
  • BuySidhartha NairDirector4,000 shares at $6.81$27,250Mar 11, 2026
  • SaleRyan GreenawaltChief Executive Officer, Director, 10% owner27,986 shares at $7.05$197,301Mar 3, 2026
  • SaleAnthony ColucciChief Financial Officer8,137 shares at $7.05$57,366Mar 3, 2026
  • BuyDaniel ShribmanDirector40,000 shares at $5.07$202,800Dec 8, 2025

Plus 5 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.1% (2019) → 1.0% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Alta Equipment Group Inc with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 107 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −6.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −4.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 2.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −1.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.12× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 20.4× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 45
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 40
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)27 · sector 38

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Indutrade AB INDT kr 267.20 kr 293.92 +10% vs ALTG
Finning International Inc FTT C$88.62 C$74.26 −16% vs ALTG
Watsco, Inc WSO $304.34 $250.18 −18% vs ALTG
Fastenal Company FAST $52.99 $41.28 −22% vs ALTG
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT $283.39 $205.08 −28% vs ALTG
Toromont Industries Ltd TIH C$184.15 C$127.80 −31% vs ALTG
WESCO International, Inc WCC $292.68 $151.74 −48% vs ALTG
W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW $1,441 $634.60 −56% vs ALTG
QXO, Inc QXO $11.56 $1.62 −86% vs ALTG
Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG $233.70 $32.42 −86% vs ALTG

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Alta Equipment Group Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alta Equipment Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALTG

Frequently asked questions

Is Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.79 versus a price of $5.93, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ALTG?
Our model-based fair value for Alta Equipment Group Inc is $17.79 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.93.
What is the quality score of ALTG?
Alta Equipment Group Inc has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $17.79 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.58, optimistic scenario $28.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alta Equipment Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $17.79, about +200% upside versus a price of $5.93 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $7.58, optimistic scenario $28.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
Alta Equipment Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Alta Equipment Group Inc pay a dividend?
Alta Equipment Group Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 1.35% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
Alta Equipment Group Inc has a dividend yield of 1.4%.
What is the intrinsic value of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alta Equipment Group Inc it is $17.79 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $5.93. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (DCF Models, Multiples).
Is Alta Equipment Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, ALTG trades below its calculated fair value: price $5.93, fair value $17.79, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALTG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.93); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.79). For Alta Equipment Group Inc the two are $11.86 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alta Equipment Group Inc worth?
The market values Alta Equipment Group Inc at about $221M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $5.93; our models calculate a fair value of $17.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALTG?
Our models span a range for Alta Equipment Group Inc: cautious scenario $7.58, base $17.79, optimistic $28.00 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $5.93). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alta Equipment Group Inc (as of Nov 7, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALTG from its 52-week high?
Alta Equipment Group Inc trades at $5.93, about 29% below its 52-week high of $8.30 and 42% above the low of $4.19 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $17.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alta Equipment Group Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alta Equipment Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $5.93, calculated fair value $17.79 (+200%), Quality Score 42/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALTG calculated?
We run Alta Equipment Group Inc through 2 models from 2 families: DCF Models, Multiples. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $17.79 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Alta Equipment Group Inc currently trades 67% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $5.93. Our model-based fair value is $17.79, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alta Equipment Group Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($7.58). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($7.58 to $28.00). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Alta Equipment Group Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
The market capitalisation of Alta Equipment Group Inc is $221M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alta Equipment Group Inc is 0.12 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
Earnings per share at Alta Equipment Group Inc are $−2.57. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
The dividend yield of Alta Equipment Group Inc is 1.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
The net margin of Alta Equipment Group Inc is −4.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alta Equipment Group Inc is −2,086% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alta Equipment Group Inc is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
The operating margin of Alta Equipment Group Inc is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
Revenue at Alta Equipment Group Inc is growing −1.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
Earnings per share at Alta Equipment Group Inc are growing +45.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG) generate?
The free cash flow of Alta Equipment Group Inc is −$18.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG) carry?
The net debt of Alta Equipment Group Inc is $1.2B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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