Alta Equipment Group (ALTG) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $235M
Alta Equipment Group
ALTG · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $27.30 to $18.72 (−31.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +19.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 150% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($7.98). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide ($7.98 to $29.47). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.91 – $17.70 · fair‑value band $7.98 – $29.47 · the $7.50 price screens below the $18.72 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Alta Equipment Group (ALTG) currently trades at $7.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.72, implying the stock looks roughly 149.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Alta Equipment Group generated revenue of $1.8B at a net margin of -4.3%. Revenue declined 3.0% year over year. Net debt stands at $1.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.98 (bear case) to $29.47 (bull case); at $7.50, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at 150%, ALTG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($41.84) versus Dividend Discount ($1.02). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Alta Equipment Group Inc. owns and operates integrated equipment dealership platforms in the United States and Canada. It operates through three segments: Material Handling, Construction Equipment, and Master Distribution.
Full company description
Alta Equipment Group Inc. owns and operates integrated equipment dealership platforms in the United States and Canada. It operates through three segments: Material Handling, Construction Equipment, and Master Distribution. The company sells, rents, and provides parts and service support for various categories of specialized equipment, including lift trucks and other material handling equipment, heavy and compact earthmoving equipment, crushing and screening equipment, environmental processing equipment, cranes and aerial work platforms, paving and asphalt equipment, and other construction equipment and related products. It also sells new and used equipment; and sells and distributes replacement parts. In addition, the company offers repair and maintenance services for its equipment; designs and builds services related to automated equipment installation and warehouse management systems integration solutions; and sell new heavy construction, material handling, and environmental processing equipment, as well as tangential products and services. Further, it rents heavy construction, compact, aerial, material handling, and various other types of equipment; and sells rental equipment from its rental fleet; and offers maintenance and repair services. It serves food and beverage, diversified manufacturing, automotive, municipal/government, education, pharmaceutical and medical, wholesale and retail distribution, construction, agriculture and forestry, road building, aggregate and mining, utilities and power generation, and recycling and waste management, and other sectors. Alta Equipment Group Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Livonia, Michigan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alta Equipment Group reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$80.3M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Rental & Leasing Services · 97 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Rental & Leasing Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Rentals, Inc URI | $1,045 | $449.86 | -57% |
| Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB | $73.41 | $65.76 | -10% |
| AerCap Holdings AER | $146.97 | $301.51 | +105% |
| U-Haul Holding UHAL | $67.35 | $7.21 | -89% |
| Ryder System, Inc R | $273.06 | $111.57 | -59% |
| Ayvens AYV | €11.57 | €24.73 | +114% |
| Localiza Rent a Car S.A RENT3 | R$40.35 | R$37.01 | -8% |
| Element Fleet Management Corp EFN | C$29.83 | C$15.06 | -50% |
| BOC Aviation Limited 2588 | HK$77.40 | HK$18.61 | -76% |
| GATX Corporation GATX | $178.48 | $140.90 | -21% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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