Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Alta Equipment Group Inc $18.03, price $6.01, upside +200.0%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.91 – $17.70 · fair‑value band $7.69 – $18.03 · the $6.01 price screens below the $18.03 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Alta Equipment Group Inc. owns and operates integrated equipment dealership platforms in the United States and Canada. It operates through three segments: Material Handling, Construction Equipment, and Master Distribution.
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Alta Equipment Group Inc. owns and operates integrated equipment dealership platforms in the United States and Canada. It operates through three segments: Material Handling, Construction Equipment, and Master Distribution. The company sells, rents, and provides parts and service support for various categories of specialized equipment, including lift trucks and other material handling equipment, heavy and compact earthmoving equipment, crushing and screening equipment, environmental processing equipment, cranes and aerial work platforms, paving and asphalt equipment, and other construction equipment and related products. It also sells new and used equipment; and sells and distributes replacement parts. In addition, the company offers repair and maintenance services for its equipment; designs and builds services related to automated equipment installation and warehouse management systems integration solutions; and sell new heavy construction, material handling, and environmental processing equipment, as well as tangential products and services. Further, it rents heavy construction, compact, aerial, material handling, and various other types of equipment; and sells rental equipment from its rental fleet; and offers maintenance and repair services. It serves food and beverage, diversified manufacturing, automotive, municipal/government, education, pharmaceutical and medical, wholesale and retail distribution, construction, agriculture and forestry, road building, aggregate and mining, utilities and power generation, and recycling and waste management, and other sectors. Alta Equipment Group Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Livonia, Michigan.
Stock analysis
Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG) currently trades at $6.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.03, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 8 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $7.69 (bear) to $18.03 (bull), the price of $6.01 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Alta Equipment Group Inc reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$80.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $235M · P/S ratio 0.13 · EPS (TTM) $−2.52 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin −4.4% · Return on equity −570% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3% · Operating margin −1.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at 200%, ALTG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $7.69Fair Value $18.03Bull $18.03
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.2%
’17
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.1% (2019) → 1.0% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Alta Equipment Group Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Rental & Leasing Services · 95 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Below median
Fair Value upside+200% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.13× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA20.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100· sector 67
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 27
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 64
DIVIDEND (yield)26· sector 44
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alta Equipment Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALTG
Frequently asked questions
Is Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.03 versus a price of $6.01, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ALTG?
Our model-based fair value for Alta Equipment Group Inc is $18.03 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.01.
What is the quality score of ALTG?
Alta Equipment Group Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $18.03 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.69, optimistic scenario $18.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alta Equipment Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $18.03, about +200% upside versus a price of $6.01 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $7.69, optimistic scenario $18.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
Alta Equipment Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Alta Equipment Group Inc pay a dividend?
Alta Equipment Group Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.28% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alta Equipment Group Inc it is $18.03 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $6.01. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alta Equipment Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ALTG trades below its calculated fair value: price $6.01, fair value $18.03, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALTG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($18.03). For Alta Equipment Group Inc the two are $12.02 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alta Equipment Group Inc worth?
The market values Alta Equipment Group Inc at about $235M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $6.01; our models calculate a fair value of $18.03 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALTG?
Our models span a range for Alta Equipment Group Inc: cautious scenario $7.69, base $18.03, optimistic $18.03 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $6.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alta Equipment Group Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALTG from its 52-week high?
Alta Equipment Group Inc trades at $6.01, about 28% below its 52-week high of $8.30 and 43% above the low of $4.19 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $18.03 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alta Equipment Group Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Rentals, Inc, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, AerCap Holdings, U-Haul Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alta Equipment Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $6.01, calculated fair value $18.03 (+200%), Quality Score 43/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALTG calculated?
We run Alta Equipment Group Inc through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $18.03, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Alta Equipment Group Inc currently trades 200 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $6.01. Our model-based fair value is $18.03, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alta Equipment Group Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($7.69). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($7.69 to $18.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Alta Equipment Group Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
The market capitalisation of Alta Equipment Group Inc is $235M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alta Equipment Group Inc is 0.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
Earnings per share at Alta Equipment Group Inc are $−2.52. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
The dividend yield of Alta Equipment Group Inc is 1.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
The net margin of Alta Equipment Group Inc is −4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alta Equipment Group Inc is −570% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alta Equipment Group Inc is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
The operating margin of Alta Equipment Group Inc is −1.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
Revenue at Alta Equipment Group Inc is growing −3.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG)?
Earnings per share at Alta Equipment Group Inc are growing +45.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG) generate?
The free cash flow of Alta Equipment Group Inc is −$18.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Alta Equipment Group Inc (ALTG) carry?
The net debt of Alta Equipment Group Inc is $1.2B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026