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Altinay Savunma Teknolojileri Anonim Sirketi (ALTNY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TR · Market cap 15.2B TRY

AS Altinay Savunma Teknolojileri Anonim Sirketi ALTNY · IS
Price15.22 TRY
Fair Value3.43 TRY
Upside-77.5%
Quality33/100
Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 29/100
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Evidence: Medium Range 2.98 TRY – 4.29 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 4, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated today

Share price −12.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.29 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

29.04 TRY 8.28 TRY Fair Value 3.43 TRY May 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

27‑month range 8.28 TRY – 29.04 TRY · fair‑value band 2.98 TRY – 4.29 TRY · the 15.22 TRY price screens above the 3.43 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.

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Analysis

Altinay Savunma Teknolojileri Anonim Sirketi (ALTNY) currently trades at 15.22 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.43 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 77.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Altinay Savunma Teknolojileri Anonim Sirketi generated revenue of 2.9B TRY at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue declined 33.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.8%. Net debt stands at 1.3B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 4, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.98 TRY (bear case) to 4.29 TRY (bull case); at 15.22 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at -77%, ALTNY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder 4.04 TRY 4.79 TRY 6.38 TRY 72
Growth-Adj P/E 5.16 TRY 7.37 TRY 9.58 TRY 68
P/E Multiple 2.45 TRY 3.27 TRY 4.09 TRY 63
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.11 TRY 7.75 TRY 10.88 TRY 54
Lynch FV 4.00 TRY 5.72 TRY 7.44 TRY 50
PEG = 1.0 4.00 TRY 5.72 TRY 7.44 TRY 46
EPV 4.04 TRY 4.69 TRY 5.25 TRY 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2.45 TRY 3.27 TRY 4.09 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 2.08 TRY 2.78 TRY 3.47 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 2.08 TRY 2.78 TRY 3.47 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 7.11 TRY 9.43 TRY 11.74 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 7.85 TRY 10.41 TRY 12.97 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 4.85 TRY 6.86 TRY 8.86 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.31 TRY 3.10 TRY 4.62 TRY 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 3.40 TRY 3.33 TRY 2.91 TRY 61
ROIC Compounder 4.04 TRY 4.79 TRY 6.38 TRY 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 5.16 TRY 7.37 TRY 9.58 TRY 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (7.37 TRY) versus Asset-Based (3.10 TRY). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.9B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) -33.0%
Net margin 1.0%
Return on equity -1.8%
Free cash flow −1.4B TRY FY2025
P/E ratio 507.3
More key figures
Operating margin 17.1%
EPS (TTM) 0.0300 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) -66.8%
Net debt 1.3B TRY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Altinay Savunma Teknolojileri Anonim Sirketi provides products and solutions in the fields of motion control, unmanned, stealth, weapon, ammunition destruction, and production systems.

Full company description

Altinay Savunma Teknolojileri Anonim Sirketi provides products and solutions in the fields of motion control, unmanned, stealth, weapon, ammunition destruction, and production systems. The company offers actuators, telescopic mast systems, weapon pedestals, electro-optic monitoring, test, unmanned, maritime, servo drivers, bomb disposal robot arm, and helicopter capture and transfer systems. It serves government and private sectors in Turkey and internationally. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Altinay Savunma Teknolojileri Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 3.1B TRY in FY2025 versus 263M TRY in FY2021, a compound +85.9%/yr. Reported net income was 163M TRY in FY2025, compounding +55.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.1B TRY
Latest YoY
+35.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+74.7%
Revenue +85.9%/yr
FY21 263M TRY
FY22 589M TRY
FY23 1.7B TRY
FY24 2.3B TRY
FY25 3.1B TRY
Net income +55.8%/yr
FY21 27.7M TRY
FY22 33.1M TRY
FY23 582M TRY
FY24 398M TRY
FY25 163M TRY

ALTNY screens 77% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Altinay Savunma Teknolojileri Anonim Sirketi Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALTNY

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 262 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -33% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 507.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.29× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 5.31× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 29.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 47
PAST 0 · sector 32
HEALTH 99 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 4, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $360.35 $116.71 -68%
RTX Corporation RTX $195.93 $88.37 -55%
Airbus SE 1AIR €206.30 €92.85 -55%
The Boeing Company BA $217.11 $48.20 -78%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥34.31 ¥21.90 -36%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 466,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -41%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 967,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -41%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 337.50 TRY 130.70 TRY -61%
Saab AB SAABB kr 520.40 kr 212.84 -59%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 277.50 kr 106.93 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Altinay Savunma Teknolojileri Anonim Sirketi (ALTNY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.43 TRY versus a price of 15.22 TRY, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALTNY?
Our model-based fair value for Altinay Savunma Teknolojileri Anonim Sirketi is 3.43 TRY (as of Aug 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 15.22 TRY.
What is the quality score of ALTNY?
Altinay Savunma Teknolojileri Anonim Sirketi has a Quality Score of 33/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Altinay Savunma Teknolojileri Anonim Sirketi (ALTNY)?
Altinay Savunma Teknolojileri Anonim Sirketi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.9B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 4, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALTNY?
The net profit margin of Altinay Savunma Teknolojileri Anonim Sirketi is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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