AMA Group (AMA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$214M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price −4.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 27% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.5525). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Our model range runs from A$0.5525 (bear) to A$0.7310 (bull), base A$0.5525. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 40/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.3130 – A$4.59 · fair‑value band A$0.5525 – A$0.7310 · the A$0.4350 price screens below the A$0.5525 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
AMA Group (AMA) currently trades at A$0.4350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.5525, implying the stock looks roughly 27.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, AMA Group generated revenue of A$1.0B at a net margin of -0.4%. Revenue grew 6.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.2%. Net debt stands at A$323M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.5525 (bear case) to A$0.7310 (bull case); at A$0.4350, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 27%, AMA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$1.69) versus Asset-Based (A$0.3100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AMA Group Limited engages in the development and operation of collision repair business in Australia and New Zealand. The company operates through five segments: AMA Collision, Capital SMART, Wales, Specialist Businesses, and ACM Parts.
Full company description
AMA Group Limited engages in the development and operation of collision repair business in Australia and New Zealand. The company operates through five segments: AMA Collision, Capital SMART, Wales, Specialist Businesses, and ACM Parts. It offers rapid and complex repairs of cars; mechanical repair and ADAS calibration services; reclaimed and aftermarket parts; and collision repair consumables for the mechanical and collision repair industries. The company also operates specialized facilities for all commercial vehicle repairs, including light commercial, prime movers, B-doubles, buses, and earthmoving equipment, as well as sites for servicing prestige vehicle marques. The company was formerly known as Allomak Limited and changed its name to AMA Group Limited in December 2009. AMA Group Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AMA Group reported revenue of A$1.0B in FY2025 versus A$917M in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$7.5M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Auto & Truck Dealerships · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carvana Co CVNA | $70.38 | $24.58 | -65% |
| Penske Automotive Group PAG | $202.66 | $241.86 | +19% |
| Hotai Motor Co 2207 | 476.50 TWD | 576.75 TWD | +21% |
| CarMax, Inc KMX | $58.47 | $29.62 | -49% |
| Lithia Motors, Inc LAD | $339.16 | $610.95 | +80% |
| AutoNation, Inc AN | $205.72 | $329.77 | +60% |
| Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA | $76.89 | $66.27 | -14% |
| Valvoline Inc VVV | $38.64 | $24.57 | -36% |
| OPENLANE, Inc OPLN | $39.46 | $33.81 | -14% |
| Eagers Automotive Limited APE | A$20.83 | A$17.66 | -15% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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