Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos S.A (AMBP3) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · BR · Market cap R$284M
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from R$0.2042 to R$0.2014 (−1.4%) since Jun 26, 2026.
Below-average quality, screening 26% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (R$0.1143 to R$0.2882) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from R$0.1143 (bear) to R$0.2882 (bull), base R$0.2014. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 35/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$0.1500 – R$26.85 · fair‑value band R$0.1143 – R$0.2882 · the R$0.1600 price screens below the R$0.2014 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos S.A (AMBP3) currently trades at R$0.1600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$0.2014, implying the stock looks roughly 25.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos S.A generated revenue of R$7.2B at a net margin of -1.4%. Revenue grew 25.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.4%. Net debt stands at R$7.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$0.1143 (bear case) to R$0.2882 (bull case); at R$0.1600, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at 26%, AMBP3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (R$0.2170) versus Dividend Discount (R$0.0053). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos S.A. provides services and products related to environmental management worldwide. The company operates through the Environment, Response, and Others segments.
Full company description
Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos S.A. provides services and products related to environmental management worldwide. The company operates through the Environment, Response, and Others segments. The company provides crisis management and emergency response services; industrial cleaning, and repair and maintenance services; maritime services, such as port support and offshore services; water production and supply, and effluent management; energy generation services from waste; and waste management and decarbonization services. Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos S.A. was incorporated in 2010 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Ambipar Participações e Empreendimentos S.A reported revenue of R$6.4B in FY2024 versus R$702M in FY2020, a compound +73.9%/yr. Reported net income was −R$288M in FY2024.
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Peer Group
Waste Management · 166 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $233.33 | $128.02 | -45% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $219.20 | $122.01 | -44% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$242.43 | C$78.67 | -68% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €37.51 | €24.50 | -35% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $303.64 | $155.37 | -49% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$55.40 | C$94.12 | +70% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €12.20 | €7.30 | -40% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.32 | ¥5.27 | -17% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥15.75 | ¥20.95 | +33% |
| Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY | A$2.34 | A$1.18 | -50% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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