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Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ambiq Micro, Inc. stock $33.60, price $45.24, that is 25.7% below the price, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Technology US

AM Ambiq Micro, Inc. logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Ambiq Micro, Inc.

AMBQ · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 26% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +90% vs. a year ago.
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.3 %/yr in USD)
Neutral coverage
Insiders sold $38.4M (6M)
Fair value $33.60 · Overvalued
Quality 34/100
Loss-making · -37.8% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$90.48 $22.76 Fair Value $33.60 Jul 2025 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

15‑month range $22.76 – $90.48 · fair‑value band $25.20 – $42.00 · the $45.24 price screens above the $33.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Ambiq Micro, Inc. provides ultra-low-power semiconductor solutions in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It develops sub-threshold power-optimized technology (SPOT) platform which is designed to reduce power consumption of battery- and wireline-powered devices alike.

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The company's flagship products include Apollo family of products which pair rich peripheral sets with host processors capable of software-based AI computations or vector-accelerated AI computations; and Atomiq, targeting AI applications to provide AI acceleration along with new memory innovations.

It also provides AmbiqSuite Software Development Kit (SDK), which provides firmware and drivers required to operate systems-on-chips (SoC); software modules, such as graphiqSPOT for graphics and display management, blueSPOT for Bluetooth communications, secureSPOT for managing security, and others; and AI enablement software.

The company serves various markets requiring on-device and real-time AI, including smartwatches and fitness trackers, augmented and virtual reality (AR/VR) glasses, smart rings, digital health monitors, security systems and access control, livestock tracking, crop monitoring, and factory automation.

It offers its products through internal direct sales force, and through a network of distributors and sales representatives. The company was formerly known as Cubiq Microchip, Inc. and changed its name to Ambiq Micro, Inc. in October 2012.

The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Austin, Texas.

Stock analysis

Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ) currently trades at $45.24, while our estimate is $33.60, 26% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $25.20 (bear) to $42.00 (bull), the price of $45.24 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Ambiq Micro, Inc. reported revenue of $72.5M in FY2025 versus $51.0M in FY2020, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$36.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $984M Small · P/S ratio 8.70 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3800 · Net margin −50.3% · Return on equity −15.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −35.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin −25.7% · Revenue (TTM) $97.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 99% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −26%, AMBQ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $25.20 Fair Value $33.60 Bull $42.00
Price $45.24 · Downside -25.7%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 9
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 1
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 37
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 67
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 6 officers or directors sold shares worth $38.4M and none bought.

  • SaleScott McLean HansonChief Technology Officer, Director7× since Jan 26, 2026: 104,880 shares, avg. $58.48$6.1MOct 15, 2026
  • SaleFumihide EsakaChief Executive Officer, Director6× since May 14, 2026: 267,060 shares, avg. $62.28$16.6MOct 15, 2026
  • SaleSean Chihhsiang ChenPresident and COO5× since May 15, 2026: 114,692 shares, avg. $64.79$7.4MOct 14, 2026
  • SaleJeffrey G WinzelerChief Financial Officer2× since May 14, 2026: 31,455 shares, avg. $69.85$2.2MOct 2, 2026
  • SaleKer ZhangDirector2× since Sep 4, 2026: 10,185 shares, avg. $63.32$644,934Sep 11, 2026
  • SaleTimothy ChenDirector70,592 shares at $79.79$5.6MMay 27, 2026
  • SaleMichele Kim ConnorsGeneral Counsel811 shares at $26.15$21,211Apr 2, 2026
  • SaleJoseph A TautgesDirector7,800 shares at $31.00$241,800Jan 26, 2026

Plus 22 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 14/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−39.7% (2020) → −56.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AMBQ screens overvalued: fair value 26% below the price. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (75 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.

Compare Ambiq Micro, Inc. with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 399 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −25.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −19.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −37.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −25.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 89.7% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/B 6.05× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 10.05× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 19

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,212,000 KRW 1,501,896 KRW +24% vs AMBQ
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $168.89 $196.54 +16% vs AMBQ
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $396.48 $427.48 +8% vs AMBQ
Broadcom Inc AVGO $331.98 $300.84 −9% vs AMBQ
Intel Corporation INTC $58.13 $52.14 −10% vs AMBQ
Micron Technology, Inc MU $725.11 $619.48 −15% vs AMBQ
Analog Devices, Inc ADI $393.30 $262.04 −33% vs AMBQ
Marvell Technology, Inc MRVL $154.39 $87.64 −43% vs AMBQ
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD $515.21 $148.02 −71% vs AMBQ
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $300.52 $81.25 −73% vs AMBQ

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Ambiq Micro, Inc.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ambiq Micro, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AMBQ

Frequently asked questions

Is Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $33.60 versus a price of $45.24, about 26% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AMBQ?
Our estimate for Ambiq Micro, Inc. is $33.60 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $45.24.
What is the quality score of AMBQ?
Ambiq Micro, Inc. has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $33.60 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario $25.20, optimistic scenario $42.00. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Ambiq Micro, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $33.60, about 26% lower versus a price of $45.24 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $25.20, optimistic scenario $42.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ)?
Ambiq Micro, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $97.9M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ambiq Micro, Inc. it is $33.60 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $45.24.
Is Ambiq Micro, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, AMBQ trades above its calculated fair value: price $45.24, fair value $33.60, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AMBQ?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($45.24); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($33.60). For Ambiq Micro, Inc. the two are $11.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ambiq Micro, Inc. worth?
The market values Ambiq Micro, Inc. at about $984M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $45.24; our models calculate a fair value of $33.60 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AMBQ?
Our models span a range for Ambiq Micro, Inc.: cautious scenario $25.20, base $33.60, optimistic $42.00 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $45.24). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ambiq Micro, Inc. (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −15.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AMBQ from its 52-week high?
Ambiq Micro, Inc. trades at $45.24, about 50% below its 52-week high of $90.48 and 99% above the low of $22.76 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $33.60 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ambiq Micro, Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ambiq Micro, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $45.24, calculated fair value $33.60 (−26%), Quality Score 34/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Ambiq Micro, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $45.24. Our estimate is $33.60, about 26% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ambiq Micro, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($42.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Ambiq Micro, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ)?
The market capitalisation of Ambiq Micro, Inc. is $984M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ambiq Micro, Inc. is 8.70 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ)?
Earnings per share at Ambiq Micro, Inc. are $−0.3800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ)?
The net margin of Ambiq Micro, Inc. is −50.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ambiq Micro, Inc. is −15.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ambiq Micro, Inc. is −35.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ)?
The operating margin of Ambiq Micro, Inc. is −25.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ)?
Revenue at Ambiq Micro, Inc. is growing +89.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ) generate?
The free cash flow of Ambiq Micro, Inc. is −$27.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ) hold?
Ambiq Micro, Inc. holds more cash than debt, $140M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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