Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Embotelladora Andina S.A CLP 4,597, price CLP 4,780, upside -3.8%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,026 CLP – 4,979 CLP · fair‑value band 2,421 CLP – 7,005 CLP · the 4,780 CLP price screens above the 4,597 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.
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Embotelladora Andina S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces, bottles, commercializes, and distributes Coca-Cola trademark beverages in Chile, Brazil, Argentina, and Paraguay.
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Embotelladora Andina S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces, bottles, commercializes, and distributes Coca-Cola trademark beverages in Chile, Brazil, Argentina, and Paraguay. It offers fruit juices, other fruit-flavored beverages, sport drinks, flavored waters, and mineral and purified water; iced tea and matte beverages; seed-based beverages; energy drinks; pre-mixed cocktails; and polyethylene terephthalate (PET) bottles and preforms, returnable PET bottles, cases, and plastic caps. The company also distributes alcoholic beverages under the Campari, Aperol, Sagatiba, Dreher, Old Eight, Drury'S, Skyy, Bulldog, Cinzano, Cynar, Liebfraulmilch, Bickens, Espolon, Frangelico, and Wild Turkey brands; water under the labels Crystal and Crystal Flavored Water brands; ready-to-drink juices under the labels Del Valle Mais, Del Valle Frut, Del Valle 100%, and Kapo brands; energy drinks under the Monster and Reign brands; isotonic drinks under the Powerade brand; and ready-to-drink teas under the Matte Leão, Leão Ice Tea, and Guaraná Power brands; alcoholic ready-to-drink under the Jack & Coke, Schweppes Mixed and Absolut Vodka & Sprite; sparkling wine, spirits, wine, cider, and other alcoholic products; confectionery under the Mentos and Frutalle; ice cream and other frozen products under the Guallarauco brand; and beer under the Therezópolis, Estrella Galicia, Cerpa, and Tijuca brands. It offers its products primarily through small retailers, restaurants and bars, supermarkets, and wholesale distributors. Embotelladora Andina S.A. was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.
Stock analysis
Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B) currently trades at 4,780 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4,597 CLP, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 5,389 CLP per share, and 10 of the 24 models we run sit above the 4,780 CLP price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 819.23 CLP, and 14 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 2,421 CLP (bear) to 7,005 CLP (bull), the price of 4,780 CLP sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Embotelladora Andina S.A reported revenue of 3.3T CLP in FY2025 versus 2.2T CLP in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was 269B CLP in FY2025, compounding +14.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.5T CLP (≈ $4.6B) · P/E ratio 14.9 · P/S ratio 1.19 · EPS (TTM) 295.45 CLP · Dividend yield 4.7% · Net margin 8.0% · Return on equity 23.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −4%, ANDINA-B screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 2,421 CLPFair Value 4,597 CLPBull 7,005 CLP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (223.41 CLP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.9% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in CLP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted. Measured in CLP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+19.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 14%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Chile: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 4.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.0% a year for the price and +1.6% for the forecasts.
Compare Embotelladora Andina S.A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 85 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside+65.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)23.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets8.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)15.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4.1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.95× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
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Is Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4,597 CLP versus a price of 4,780 CLP, about −4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ANDINA-B?
Our model-based fair value for Embotelladora Andina S.A is 4,597 CLP (as of Sep 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4,780 CLP.
What is the quality score of ANDINA-B?
Embotelladora Andina S.A has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4,597 CLP (as of Sep 30, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2,421 CLP, optimistic scenario 7,005 CLP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Embotelladora Andina S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4,597 CLP, about −4% upside versus a price of 4,780 CLP (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 2,421 CLP, optimistic scenario 7,005 CLP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B)?
Embotelladora Andina S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.4T CLP (latest available figure, as of Sep 30, 2026).
Does Embotelladora Andina S.A pay a dividend?
Embotelladora Andina S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 30, 2026).
What growth is priced into Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Embotelladora Andina S.A would have to grow free cash flow by +15.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.5 % per year. As of Sep 30, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ANDINA-B use?
Our models discount Embotelladora Andina S.A at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.42, country premium for Chile. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Embotelladora Andina S.A that is +15.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Embotelladora Andina S.A grew +14.5 % a year. The price currently implies +15.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Embotelladora Andina S.A (+15.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.05 %: that much free cash flow Embotelladora Andina S.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Embotelladora Andina S.A it is 4,597 CLP per share (as of Sep 30, 2026), against a price of 4,780 CLP. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Embotelladora Andina S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 30, 2026, ANDINA-B trades above its calculated fair value: price 4,780 CLP, fair value 4,597 CLP, a gap of about −4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ANDINA-B?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4,780 CLP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4,597 CLP). For Embotelladora Andina S.A the two are 183.11 CLP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Embotelladora Andina S.A worth?
The market values Embotelladora Andina S.A at about 4.5T CLP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 30, 2026). Per share that is 4,780 CLP; our models calculate a fair value of 4,597 CLP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ANDINA-B?
Our models span a range for Embotelladora Andina S.A: cautious scenario 2,421 CLP, base 4,597 CLP, optimistic 7,005 CLP per share (as of Sep 30, 2026, price 4,780 CLP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ANDINA-B?
Embotelladora Andina S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.9 (as of Sep 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 4,597 CLP is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.8, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 9.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B)?
Balance-sheet figures for Embotelladora Andina S.A (as of Sep 30, 2026): return on equity 23.5%, debt of 0.95 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ANDINA-B from its 52-week high?
Embotelladora Andina S.A trades at 4,780 CLP, about 4% below its 52-week high of 4,979 CLP and 39% above the low of 3,449 CLP (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4,597 CLP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Embotelladora Andina S.A?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Embotelladora Andina S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 30, 2026: price 4,780 CLP, calculated fair value 4,597 CLP (−4%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ANDINA-B calculated?
We run Embotelladora Andina S.A through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 4,597 CLP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Embotelladora Andina S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 4,780 CLP. Our model-based fair value is 4,597 CLP, about −4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Embotelladora Andina S.A right now?
The model range is unusually wide (2,421 CLP to 7,005 CLP). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Key figures of Embotelladora Andina S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B)?
The market capitalisation of Embotelladora Andina S.A is 4.5T CLP (≈ $4.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Embotelladora Andina S.A is 1.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B)?
Earnings per share at Embotelladora Andina S.A are 295.45 CLP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B)?
The dividend yield of Embotelladora Andina S.A is 4.7% (payout 76.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B)?
The net margin of Embotelladora Andina S.A is 8.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Embotelladora Andina S.A is 23.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Embotelladora Andina S.A is 11.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B)?
The operating margin of Embotelladora Andina S.A is 15.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B)?
Revenue at Embotelladora Andina S.A is growing +4.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B)?
Earnings per share at Embotelladora Andina S.A are growing +25.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Embotelladora Andina S.A (ANDINA-B) carry?
The net debt of Embotelladora Andina S.A is 836B CLP (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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