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Abercrombie & Fitch Co (ANF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $4.3B

AF Abercrombie & Fitch Co logo Abercrombie & Fitch Co ANF · US
Price$112.62
Fair Value$203.63
Upside+80.8%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 9.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range $133.36 – $279.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $199.54 to $203.63 (+2.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +29.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 81% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($133.36). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($133.36 to $279.17) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$192.34 $14.39 Fair Value $203.63 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $14.39 – $192.34 · fair‑value band $133.36 – $279.17 · the $112.62 price screens below the $203.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Abercrombie & Fitch Co (ANF) currently trades at $112.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $203.63, implying the stock looks roughly 80.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Abercrombie & Fitch Co generated revenue of $5.3B at a net margin of 9.3%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 39.2%. Net debt stands at $409M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $133.36 (bear case) to $279.17 (bull case); at $112.62, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 72% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 81%, ANF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $109.00 $148.71 $202.55 80
Residual Income $78.57 $113.41 $1,028 76
Rev-Margin DCF $110.00 $164.46 $225.89 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $107.45 $152.05 $216.15 38
Owner Earnings $117.67 $167.32 $238.67 31
5Y Revenue Exit $110.00 $164.19 $232.62 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $147.22 $232.87 $331.87 41
5Y P/E Exit $155.76 $248.64 $345.00 38
10Y Revenue Exit $105.27 $153.50 $216.70 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $131.21 $199.77 $289.81 37
10Y P/E Exit $136.50 $210.39 $299.49 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $77.58 $225.34 $297.56 54
Lynch FV $46.72 $66.74 $86.77 50
PEG = 1.0 $46.72 $66.74 $86.77 46
EPV $118.04 $133.98 $147.73 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $188.25 $251.00 $313.75 63
P/S Multiple $106.67 $142.23 $177.79 58
P/B Multiple $94.79 $126.39 $157.98 55
EV/EBIT $229.52 $300.33 $371.14 53
EV/EBITDA $190.11 $247.78 $305.46 54
EV/Revenue $116.66 $159.33 $201.99 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.80 $21.17 $31.60 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $109.00 $148.71 $202.55 80
Rev-Margin DCF $110.00 $164.46 $225.89 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $78.57 $113.41 $1,028 76
ROIC Compounder $121.03 $140.88 $160.30 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $151.39 $216.28 $281.16 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($216.28) versus Asset-Based ($21.17). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.5%
Net margin 9.3%
Return on equity 39.2%
Free cash flow $378M FY2026
P/E ratio 9.4
More key figures
Operating margin 8.0%
EPS (TTM) $10.36
EPS growth (YoY) -7.5%
Net debt $409M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 86
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 46
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 59
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Abercrombie & Fitch Co., through its subsidiaries, operates as an omnichannel retailer in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific.

Full company description

Abercrombie & Fitch Co., through its subsidiaries, operates as an omnichannel retailer in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. It offers an assortment of apparel, personal care products, and accessories for men, women, and kids under the Abercrombie & Fitch, abercrombie kids, Your Personal Best, Hollister, and Gilly Hicks brands. The company sells products through its stores, various wholesale, franchise, and licensing arrangements, as well as e-commerce platforms. Abercrombie & Fitch Co. was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in New Albany, Ohio.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Abercrombie & Fitch Co reported revenue of $5.3B in FY2026 versus $3.7B in FY2022, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was $507M in FY2026, compounding +17.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 83/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$5.3B
Latest YoY
+6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+10.0%
Revenue +9.1%/yr
FY22 $3.7B
FY23 $3.7B
FY24 $4.3B
FY25 $4.9B
FY26 $5.3B
Net income +17.8%/yr
FY22 $263M
FY23 $2.8M
FY24 $328M
FY25 $566M
FY26 $507M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Abercrombie & Fitch Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ANF

Peer Group

Apparel Retail · 107 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +81% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Return on assets 13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 3.08× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.82× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 11.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.62× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 33
FUTURE 8 · sector 17
PAST 100 · sector 35
HEALTH 100 · sector 100
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A 1ITX €58.44 €23.29 -60%
The TJX Companies, Inc TJX $154.46 $84.95 -45%
Fast Retailing Co 6288 HK$40.00 HK$15.37 -62%
Ross Stores, Inc ROST $233.46 $118.41 -49%
Burlington Stores, Inc BURL $327.72 $147.08 -55%
Trent Limited TRENT ₹2,903 ₹709.49 -76%
lululemon athletica inc., LULU $116.33 $299.63 +158%
Aritzia Inc ATZ C$160.05 C$87.26 -45%
The Gap, Inc GAP $20.35 $37.12 +82%
Urban Outfitters, Inc URBN $72.95 $92.88 +27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Abercrombie & Fitch Co (ANF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $203.63 versus a price of $112.62, about +81% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ANF?
Our model-based fair value for Abercrombie & Fitch Co is $203.63 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $112.62.
What is the quality score of ANF?
Abercrombie & Fitch Co has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Abercrombie & Fitch Co (ANF)?
Abercrombie & Fitch Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ANF?
The net profit margin of Abercrombie & Fitch Co is about 9.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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