Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc (AOMR) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $213M
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc
AOMR · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +1.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 48% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($9.99). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($9.99 to $18.33) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.91 – $10.12 · fair‑value band $9.99 – $18.33 · the $9.00 price screens below the $13.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc (AOMR) currently trades at $9.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.32, implying the stock looks roughly 48.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc generated revenue of $35.3M at a net margin of 45.7%. Revenue declined 60.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. Net debt stands at $2.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.99 (bear case) to $18.33 (bull case); at $9.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 48%, AOMR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($13.74) versus Asset-Based ($7.19). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc., a real estate finance company, focuses on acquiring and investing in first lien nonqualified mortgage loans and other mortgage-related assets in the United States mortgage market. It offers investment securities; residential mortgage loans; and commercial mortgage loans.
Full company description
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc., a real estate finance company, focuses on acquiring and investing in first lien nonqualified mortgage loans and other mortgage-related assets in the United States mortgage market. It offers investment securities; residential mortgage loans; and commercial mortgage loans. The company also offers futures contracts; non-agency residential mortgage backed securities; non-recourse securitization obligations; collateralized by residential mortgage loans; commercial bridge loans; mezzanine loans; construction loans; B-Notes; home equity lines of credit (HELOCs); and other related instruments. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as Angel Oak Mortgage, Inc. and changed its name to Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. in March 2023. Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc reported revenue of $133M in FY2025 versus $41.8M in FY2021, a compound +33.5%/yr. Reported net income was $44.0M in FY2025, compounding +20.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
REIT - Mortgage · 40 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Mortgage median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Mortgage stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annaly Capital Management, Inc NLY | $22.45 | $22.84 | +2% |
| AGNC Investment Corp AGNC | $10.56 | $12.03 | +14% |
| Starwood Property Trust, Inc STWD | $16.52 | $14.93 | -10% |
| Rithm Capital Corp RITM | $9.12 | $20.75 | +128% |
| Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc BXMT | $16.69 | $14.84 | -11% |
| Dynex Capital, Inc DX | $12.60 | $7.67 | -39% |
| ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc ARR | $16.13 | $20.28 | +26% |
| Ellington Financial Inc EFC | $13.37 | $13.45 | +1% |
| Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc ARI | $6.76 | $13.56 | +101% |
| Orchid Island Capital, Inc ORC | $6.54 | $6.26 | -4% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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