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Ellington Financial Inc (EFC) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $1.7B

Price$13.65
Fair Value$13.45
Upside-1.5%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $10.09 – $16.81

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

Analysis

Ellington Financial Inc (EFC) currently trades at $13.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.45 — implying the stock looks roughly 1.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Ellington Financial Inc., through its subsidiary, Ellington Financial Operating Partnership LLC, acquires and manages mortgage-related, consumer-related, corporate-related, and other financial assets in the United States. It operates in two segments, Investment Portfolio and Longbridge. The company acquires and manages residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) backed by prime jumbo, Alt-A, non-QM, manufactured housing, subprime residential, and single-family-rental mortgage loans; RMBS for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the U.S. government agency or the U.S. government-sponsored entity; residential and commercial mortgage loans; residential mortgage-backed securities; commercial mortgage-backed securities; consumer loans and asset-backed securities backed by consumer loans; investments referencing mortgage servicing rights on traditional forward mortgage loans; collateralized loan obligations; non-mortgage- and mortgage-related derivatives; debt and …

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ellington Financial Inc (EFC) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.45 versus a price of $13.65 — about −1% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of EFC?
Our 21-model fair value for Ellington Financial Inc is $13.45 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.65.
What is the quality score of EFC?
Ellington Financial Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.