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Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc (ARI) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $1.4B

Price$10.75
Fair Value$13.56
Upside+26.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $10.17 – $16.96

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

Analysis

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc (ARI) currently trades at $10.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.56 — implying the stock looks roughly 26.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust that originates, acquires, invests in, and manages commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings, and other commercial real estate-related debt investments. The company is qualified as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code. As a REIT, it would not be subject to federal income taxes, if the company distributes at least 90% of its REIT taxable income to its stockholders. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is based in New York, New York.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc (ARI) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.56 versus a price of $10.75 — about +26% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ARI?
Our 21-model fair value for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc is $13.56 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.75.
What is the quality score of ARI?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.