APA Group (APAJF) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $10.6B
APA Group
APAJF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Share price −10.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $3.47 – $7.98 · fair‑value band $1.73 – $2.89 · the $7.12 price screens above the $2.31 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.
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APA Group (APAJF) currently trades at $7.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.31, implying the stock looks roughly 67.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, APA Group generated revenue of $3.2B at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue declined 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. Net debt stands at $13.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.73 (bear case) to $2.89 (bull case); at $7.12, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -68%, APAJF screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
APA Group engages in the energy infrastructure business in Australia. The company operates through Energy Infrastructure, Asset Management, and Energy Investments segments. It operates gas transmission and interconnected grids, gas-fired power stations, solar and wind farms, and battery energy storage systems, as well as provides gas storage, processing, and compression facilities. It also provides asset management and operating services to its energy investments and third parties; and invests in energy infrastructure. In addition, the company engages renewables projects; project construction process, such as horizontal directional drilling construction, pipeline construction process, open-trench construction, and pipeline construction process; and bundled energy systems. Further, it engages in electricity generation. The company also has interests in approximately 15,000 kilometers of gas transmission pipelines; approximately 29,500 kilometers of gas mains and pipelines; and 1.5 …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
APA Group reported revenue of $3.2B in FY2025 versus $2.6B in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was $99.0M in FY2025.
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Recent news
- Worley’s New APA And AEP Deals Shape Energy Transition Story
- Worley Bags 3-Year Engineering Contract from APA
- APA Group Bond Issue And What It Signals For Valuation And Risk
- 5 Big Takeaways From the Middle East Energy Shock
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naturgy Energy Group NTGY | €29.40 | €29.93 | +2% |
| Atmos Energy Corporation ATO | $167.96 | $87.63 | -48% |
| Snam S.p.A SRG | €6.25 | €4.39 | -30% |
| Uniper SE UNPRF | $55.20 | $58.42 | +6% |
| NiSource Inc N1IS34 | R$229.31 | R$179.10 | -22% |
| The Hong Kong and China Gas Company HOKCY | $0.8100 | $0.5500 | -32% |
| Tokyo Gas Co TKGSF | $39.85 | $65.41 | +64% |
| Osaka Gas Co OSGSY | $67.85 | $49.88 | -26% |
| Italgas S.p.A ITGGF | $12.50 | $10.23 | -18% |
| GAIL (India) Limited GAIL | ₹167.40 | ₹90.74 | -46% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.