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Auto Partner SA (APR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · PL · Market cap 3.5B PLN

AP Auto Partner SA APR · WAR
Price29.95 PLN
Fair Value5.97 PLN
Upside-80.1%
Quality54/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.56% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range 4.11 PLN – 10.96 PLN Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from 6.25 PLN to 5.97 PLN (−4.5%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +13.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 80% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (10.96 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (4.11 PLN to 10.96 PLN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

29.95 PLN 9.73 PLN Fair Value 5.97 PLN Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 9.73 PLN – 29.95 PLN · fair‑value band 4.11 PLN – 10.96 PLN · the 29.95 PLN price screens above the 5.97 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Auto Partner SA (APR) currently trades at 29.95 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.97 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 80.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Auto Partner SA generated revenue of 4.5B PLN at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue grew 9.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.1%. Net debt stands at 588M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 4.11 PLN (bear case) to 10.96 PLN (bull case); at 29.95 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -80%, APR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 8.65 PLN 16.12 PLN 30.72 PLN 80
Residual Income 10.39 PLN 13.38 PLN 37.47 PLN 76
Rev-Margin DCF 17.12 PLN 38.67 PLN 72.43 PLN 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 9.26 PLN 14.63 PLN 31.39 PLN 38
Owner Earnings 24.11 PLN 54.29 PLN 115.31 PLN 31
5Y Revenue Exit 17.12 PLN 33.90 PLN 68.25 PLN 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 18.77 PLN 37.35 PLN 72.82 PLN 41
5Y P/E Exit 20.12 PLN 47.84 PLN 85.25 PLN 38
10Y Revenue Exit 13.95 PLN 36.27 PLN 57.03 PLN 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 15.92 PLN 39.57 PLN 85.35 PLN 37
10Y P/E Exit 16.87 PLN 42.26 PLN 88.47 PLN 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 10.36 PLN 72.22 PLN 101.35 PLN 54
Lynch FV 24.45 PLN 34.92 PLN 45.40 PLN 50
PEG = 1.0 24.45 PLN 34.92 PLN 45.40 PLN 46
EPV 15.44 PLN 17.98 PLN 20.18 PLN 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.32 PLN 2.63 PLN 3.98 PLN 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1.32 PLN 2.27 PLN 2.77 PLN 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 25.13 PLN 33.51 PLN 41.88 PLN 63
P/S Multiple 19.42 PLN 25.89 PLN 32.36 PLN 58
P/B Multiple 19.42 PLN 25.89 PLN 32.36 PLN 55
EV/EBIT 28.29 PLN 37.95 PLN 47.62 PLN 53
EV/EBITDA 22.54 PLN 30.29 PLN 38.04 PLN 54
EV/Revenue 18.84 PLN 27.22 PLN 35.59 PLN 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5.41 PLN 7.25 PLN 10.82 PLN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 8.65 PLN 16.12 PLN 30.72 PLN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 17.12 PLN 38.67 PLN 72.43 PLN 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 10.39 PLN 13.38 PLN 37.47 PLN 76
ROIC Compounder 18.96 PLN 28.19 PLN 34.50 PLN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 32.75 PLN 46.79 PLN 60.82 PLN 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (46.79 PLN) versus Dividend Discount (2.27 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.5B PLN
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.0%
Net margin 4.9%
Return on equity 16.1%
Free cash flow 81.8M PLN FY2025
P/E ratio 15.6
More key figures
Operating margin 7.5%
EPS (TTM) 1.70 PLN
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +60.0%
Net debt 588M PLN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86

Profitability 66
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 88
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Auto Partner SA imports and distributes parts for passenger cars, delivery vans, and motorcycles in Poland. The company's products portfolio consists of suspension and steering systems, brake systems, motorbike assortments, workshop equipment, shock absorbers and springs, drive systems, filters, timing gears, hydraulics, metal and rubber parts, pneumatic …

Full company description

Auto Partner SA imports and distributes parts for passenger cars, delivery vans, and motorcycles in Poland. The company's products portfolio consists of suspension and steering systems, brake systems, motorbike assortments, workshop equipment, shock absorbers and springs, drive systems, filters, timing gears, hydraulics, metal and rubber parts, pneumatic tools, health and safety products, turbochargers, drivetrains, seals, workshop equipment, electric systems, cooling systems, oils and car chemicals, wipers, power window regulators, exhaust systems, body and lighting products, batteries, tires and rims, and accessories and consumables, as well as power supply system components, joints, axle shafts, spark plugs, clutches, gaskets and engine parts, hoses, drive belts and rollers, cables, and clamps. It also operates warehouses; and provides training and transport services. The company offers its products through electronic channels, as well as directly to customers, comprising repair shops and automotive stores. It operates in Germany, Austria, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Slovenia, Croatia, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, the Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg, Denmark, Finland, Sweden, Norway, France, Spain, Portugal, Italy, Switzerland, the Great Britain, and Ireland. The company also exports its products. Auto Partner SA was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Bierun, Poland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Auto Partner SA reported revenue of 4.4B PLN in FY2025 versus 2.3B PLN in FY2021, a compound +18.3%/yr. Reported net income was 199M PLN in FY2025, compounding +1.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.4B PLN
Latest YoY
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+16.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+21.5%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+23.4%
Revenue +18.3%/yr
FY21 2.3B PLN
FY22 2.8B PLN
FY23 3.7B PLN
FY24 4.1B PLN
FY25 4.4B PLN
Net income +1.7%/yr
FY21 186M PLN
FY22 207M PLN
FY23 224M PLN
FY24 208M PLN
FY25 199M PLN

APR screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Auto Partner SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/APR

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.10× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.66× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 11.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 45 · sector 23
PAST 65 · sector 26
HEALTH 95 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 11 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Auto Partner SA (APR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.97 PLN versus a price of 29.95 PLN, about −80% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of APR?
Our model-based fair value for Auto Partner SA is 5.97 PLN (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 29.95 PLN.
What is the quality score of APR?
Auto Partner SA has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Auto Partner SA (APR)?
Auto Partner SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.5B PLN (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of APR?
The net profit margin of Auto Partner SA is about 4.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Auto Partner SA pay a dividend?
Auto Partner SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.58% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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